Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys — score & stats

Set by set

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Sets
A. Sabalenka	6	6	2
M. Keys	3	3	0

Momentum — game by game, ● = break

▲ A. Sabalenka ▼ M. Keys

Match facts

Tournament

Brisbane

A. Sabalenka

W S. Cirstea 2–0 W C. Bucsa 2–0 L E. Rybakina 0–2 W A. Anisimova 2–1 W C. Gauff 2–0

M. Keys

W D. Shnaider 2–1 W M. Kessler 2–0 L A. Anisimova 1–2 L I. Swiatek 0–2 L R. Zarazúa 1–2

A. Sabalenka · match stats · M. Keys

5Aces4

2Double faults8

57%First serve in68%

73%First-serve points won57%

93%Second serve in65%

46%Second-serve points won30%

60%Break points saved55%

45%Break points converted40%

51%Return points won38%

40Service points won35

35Receiver points won25

75Total points won60

12Games won6

7Service games won4

0Tiebreaks won0

4Longest point streak4

4Longest game streak1

Per set · aces & double faults

Set	Aces	Double faults
Set 1	0–3	0–7
Set 2	5–1	2–1

Figures read A. Sabalenka first.

Set 29 games · newest first

6-3 game 9 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 40-0

5-3 game 8 M. Keys serving

0-15 15-15 15-30 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A

5-2 game 7 A. Sabalenka serving

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30

4-2 game 6 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 40-30

3-2 game 5 A. Sabalenka serving BREAK

15-0 15-15 15-30 30-30 30-40

3-1 game 4 M. Keys serving BREAK

0-15 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30

2-1 game 3 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40

1-1 game 2 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 40-0 40-15 40-30

0-1 game 1 A. Sabalenka serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40 40-40 A-40 40-40 40-A

Set 19 games · newest first

6-3 game 9 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A 40-40 A-40 40-40 A-40

5-3 game 8 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15

4-3 game 7 M. Keys serving BREAK

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30

3-3 game 6 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 40-15

2-3 game 5 M. Keys serving

0-15 0-30 15-30 15-40 30-40 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

2-2 game 4 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 30-15 30-30 30-40 40-40 A-40

1-2 game 3 M. Keys serving

0-15 0-30 0-40

1-1 game 2 A. Sabalenka serving

15-0 30-0 30-15 40-15

0-1 game 1 M. Keys serving

15-0 15-15 30-15 30-30 40-30 40-40 40-A 40-40 40-A

Point chips read A. Sabalenka first · highlighted border marks the point winner.

Head to head

5 A. Sabalenka vs M. Keys
7 meetings 2

W Indian Wells · Mar 2025 · hard 2–0 L Australian Open · Jan 2025 · hard 1–2

W/L from A. Sabalenka's perspective.

Win probability

A. SabalenkaM. Keys

80%

20%

80%

Model confidence

Why the model thinks so

Better on this surface
Better recent form
More titles on this surface
Better on break points

A. Sabalenka

1.25

consensus price, since opening

M. Keys

4.00

consensus price, since opening

Match winnerdecimal

Bookmaker A. Sabalenka M. Keys

Gamdom 1.18 5.20

Consensus 1.25 4.00

Tnnslive 1.18 4.81