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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Women
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Surface
Maya Joint wins +14% more on this surface
H2H
Liudmila Samsonova has won 100% of their meetings
Serve
Liudmila Samsonova has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Joint 2 of last 5
L P. Udvardy 0–2 W Y. Putintseva 2–1 W J. Hinojosa Gomez 2–0 L T. Korpatsch 1–2 L L. Samsonova 1–2L. Samsonova 3 of last 5
L C. Gauff 1–2 W Y. Putintseva 2–1 L E. Rybakina 1–2 W M. Joint 2–1 W B. Krejčiková 2–0Head to head
L
Toronto · Aug 2026 · hard
1–2
L
Wimbledon, Women · Jul 2025 · grass
0–2
W/L from M. Joint's perspective.
Win probability
M. JointL. Samsonova
53%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- More effective serve
- Leads the head-to-head (100%)
M. Joint
2.75
3.20
▲
consensus price, since opening
L. Samsonova
1.44
1.36
▼
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Bet365
3.20
1.36
Betsson
3.11
1.35
Interwetten
3.15
1.35
Novibet
3.25 ▲
1.36
Consensus
3.18 ▼
1.36
L. Samsonova at 1.36
64%
win rate at similar odds (11 matches) · market implies 74%
O/U Games 20.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.82 ▲
1.84 ▼
Interwetten
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▼
Novibet
1.78 ▲
1.93 ▼
Consensus
1.82 ▲
1.86 ▼
O/U Games 21.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.93
1.74
Interwetten
1.95
1.75
Novibet
1.83
1.87 ▲
Consensus
1.89
1.80 ▲
Games Handicap 4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Bet365
1.73
2.00
Betsson
1.80 ▲
1.91 ▼
Interwetten
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Consensus
1.74 ▲
1.98 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.86
1.84
Consensus
1.86
1.84
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
2.65 ▲
1.43 ▼
Novibet
2.45
1.53 ▲
Consensus
2.55 ▲
1.48 ▼
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Betsson
4.80
1.15 ▲
Interwetten
4.80
1.15
Consensus
4.80
1.15
Player O/U Games 9.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.82 ▲
1.89 ▼
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.81 ▲
1.90 ▼
O/U Double Faults 7.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.25
3.55
Consensus
1.25
3.55
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
3.40 ▲
1.30 ▼
Consensus
3.40 ▲
1.30 ▼
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Bet365
2.75
1.44
Betsson
2.72
1.44
Interwetten
2.65
1.43
Novibet
2.75 ▲
1.43
Consensus
2.72 ▲
1.44 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.12
5.50
Consensus
1.12
5.50
Games Handicap 1.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Betsson
2.25
1.57
Interwetten
2.20
1.60
Novibet
2.35 ▲
1.53 ▼
Consensus
2.35 ▲
1.53 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.86
1.84
Novibet
2.00
1.70
Consensus
2.00 ▲
1.70 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.94
1.76
Consensus
1.94
1.76
Player O/U Games 9.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.82
1.89
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.81
1.90
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Interwetten
2.65
1.43
Novibet
2.70 ▲
1.43
Consensus
2.68 ▲
1.43
O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.02
10.00
Consensus
1.02
10.00
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.12
5.25
Consensus
1.12
5.25
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Novibet
2.25
1.60
Consensus
2.25
1.60
Games Handicap 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Joint
L. Samsonova
Betsson
1.80
1.91
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Novibet
1.65
2.10
Consensus
1.75
1.97
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
Betsson
1.86
1.84
Novibet
2.00
1.72
Consensus
2.00 ▲
1.72 ▼
Player O/U Games 9.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.82 ▲
1.89 ▼
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.81 ▲
1.90 ▼