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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Matteo Arnaldi is ranked 52 places higher
Form
James Duckworth comes in with better momentum
Recent form
M. Arnaldi 1 of last 5
L M. Landaluce 1–2 L T. Griekspoor 1–2 W F. Marozsán 2–1 L L. Musetti 0–1 L D. Džumhur 1–2J. Duckworth 4 of last 5
L A. Fery 0–1 W F. Marozsán 2–1 W L. Sonego 2–0 W M. Navone 2–0 W Q. Vandecasteele 2–0Win probability
M. ArnaldiJ. Duckworth
51%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+52 places)
- Strong in tiebreaks (71%)
M. Arnaldi
2.10
1.57
▼
consensus price, since opening
J. Duckworth
1.73
2.38
▲
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
10bet
1.55 ▼
2.35 ▲
1xBet
1.63 ▼
2.48 ▲
888Sport
1.57 ▼
2.38 ▲
Bet365
1.57 ▼
2.38 ▲
Betsson
1.57 ▲
2.35 ▼
Betway
1.60 ▼
2.40 ▲
Bwin
1.72 ▼
2.10 ▲
Interwetten
1.57 ▼
2.40 ▲
Marathon
1.56 ▲
2.41 ▼
Novibet
1.58 ▼
2.45 ▲
SportingBet
1.72
2.10
Unibet
1.56 ▼
2.33
fonbet
1.55 ▲
2.45 ▲
Consensus
1.57 ▼
2.39 ▼
M. Arnaldi at 1.57
50%
win rate at similar odds (6 matches) · market implies 64%
J. Duckworth at 2.38
43%
win rate at similar odds (7 matches) · market implies 42% · value signal
O/U Games 39.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90
1.85
888Sport
1.85
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.83 ▲
1.83 ▼
Betway
1.83
1.83
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.92
1.78
Novibet
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▼
O/U Games 40.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90 ▲
1.85 ▼
1xBet
1.89 ▲
1.82
Marathon
1.88 ▼
1.82
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.85 ▲
Games Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
10bet
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
1xBet
1.93
2.01
888Sport
1.85
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1.83
Betsson
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Betway
1.80
1.91
Interwetten
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Novibet
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Unibet
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Consensus
1.81 ▼
1.89 ▲
Games Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
Betsson
1.89
1.81
Interwetten
1.90
1.80
Novibet
1.90
1.83
Consensus
1.90
1.81
Games Handicap -1.00Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
10bet
1.95
1.85
1xBet
1.83
1.86
Consensus
1.89
1.86
Games Handicap -0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
Betsson
1.83 ▼
1.88 ▲
Interwetten
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Consensus
1.82 ▼
1.89 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Novibet
1.83
1.83
Unibet
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▲
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.47 ▲
2.53 ▼
Betsson
1.46 ▲
2.50 ▼
Betway
1.44
2.60
Marathon
1.48 ▲
2.50 ▼
Novibet
1.40 ▲
2.70 ▼
Unibet
1.47 ▲
2.55 ▼
fonbet
1.48
2.55
Consensus
1.46 ▲
2.57 ▲
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
10bet
3.60 ▼
1.25 ▲
1xBet
3.72 ▼
1.24 ▲
Betsson
3.55 ▲
1.25 ▼
Betway
3.75
1.25
Interwetten
3.60 ▼
1.25 ▲
Unibet
3.60 ▼
1.25 ▲
fonbet
3.70 ▲
1.25 ▲
Consensus
3.63
1.25 ▲
Player O/U Games 19.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.60 ▼
2.19 ▲
Betsson
1.75
1.97
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Marathon
1.65 ▲
2.11 ▼
Novibet
1.75
1.90
Unibet
1.67 ▲
2.13 ▼
William Hill
1.67
–
Consensus
1.71 ▲
2.01 ▼
O/U Double Faults 12.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.60
2.10
Consensus
1.60
2.10
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.57
2.25
Consensus
1.57
2.25
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
10bet
1.67 ▲
2.15 ▼
1xBet
1.68 ▼
2.08 ▲
888Sport
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
Bet365
1.67 ▼
2.20 ▲
Betsson
1.66 ▲
2.17 ▼
Betway
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
Bwin
1.80
1.87
Interwetten
1.65 ▼
2.10 ▲
Marathon
1.67 ▲
2.10
Novibet
1.66 ▼
2.20 ▲
SportingBet
–
1.95
Unibet
1.65 ▼
2.15 ▲
fonbet
1.70 ▲
2.17 ▼
Consensus
1.67 ▲
2.14
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.05
7.50 ▼
Consensus
1.05
7.50 ▼
O/U Games 8.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.19
4.20
Consensus
1.19
4.20
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
fonbet
6.00 ▼
1.09
Consensus
6.00 ▼
1.09
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
1xBet
3.40
1.28
Marathon
3.40
1.28
Unibet
3.40 ▼
1.27 ▲
fonbet
3.40 ▼
1.27 ▲
Consensus
3.40 ▼
1.28 ▲
Games Handicap -0.501st Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
Betsson
1.77 ▼
1.94 ▲
Interwetten
1.75 ▼
1.95 ▲
Consensus
1.76 ▼
1.95 ▲
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.77 ▼
1.96 ▼
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.82 ▲
1.90 ▼
Novibet
1.83
1.85 ▼
Consensus
1.83 ▲
1.88 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.34 ▼
2.98 ▲
Marathon
1.36 ▲
2.89 ▼
Consensus
1.36 ▲
2.89 ▼
Player O/U Games 19.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.75
1.97
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Consensus
1.75
1.96
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
1xBet
1.65 ▼
2.13 ▲
888Sport
1.80
2.10 ▲
Betway
1.67 ▼
2.10 ▲
Bwin
1.80
1.87
Interwetten
1.65 ▼
2.10 ▲
Marathon
1.65 ▲
2.13 ▼
Novibet
1.65 ▼
2.15 ▲
SportingBet
1.80
1.95
Unibet
1.65 ▼
2.14 ▲
Consensus
1.54 ▲
2.12 ▲
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.05
7.50 ▼
Consensus
1.05
7.50 ▼
O/U Games 8.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
1.16
4.50
Consensus
1.16
4.50
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
Marathon
3.20
1.31
Consensus
3.20
1.31
Games Handicap -1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
1xBet
2.03 ▼
1.70 ▲
Marathon
2.03 ▼
1.70 ▲
Novibet
2.00 ▼
1.72 ▲
Consensus
2.03
1.70 ▼
Games Handicap -0.502nd Set
Bookmaker
M. Arnaldi
J. Duckworth
Betsson
1.87
1.84
Interwetten
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.86
1.85
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.82 ▼
1.90
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86 ▲
1.86 ▼
Novibet
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▲
Consensus
1.86 ▲
1.86 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.33 ▼
3.04 ▲
Marathon
1.35 ▲
2.93 ▼
Consensus
1.35 ▲
2.93 ▼
Player O/U Games 19.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.75
1.97
Interwetten
1.75
1.95
Consensus
1.75
1.96