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Match facts
Tournament
US Open, Men
Category
Grandslam
Round
Round of 128
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Raphael Collignon is ranked 462 places higher
Surface
Raphael Collignon wins +68% more on this surface
Form
Sebastian Gorzny comes in with better momentum
Serve
Raphael Collignon has the stronger first serve
Recent form
S. Gorzny 2 of last 5
L C. Hewitt 1–2 L F. Balshaw 1–2 W M. Polmans 2–1 L A. Ilagan 0–2 W B. Gojo 2–1R. Collignon 0 of last 5
L R. Hijikata 1–2 L M. Navone 0–2 L A. Popyrin 0–2 L D. Altmaier 0–2 L S. Tsitsipas 1–2Win probability
S. GorznyR. Collignon
73%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Ranked far higher (+462 places)
- 3 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (68% win rate)
- More effective serve
S. Gorzny
7.00
consensus price, since opening
R. Collignon
1.10
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
10bet
7.00
1.08 ▲
1xBet
9.65 ▲
1.10
888Sport
6.50 ▼
1.11 ▲
Bet365
7.00
1.10
Betsson
6.96 ▲
1.09 ▲
Betway
7.00
1.10
Bwin
6.75
1.10
Interwetten
6.75
1.10
Marathon
7.40 ▲
1.09
Novibet
7.00 ▼
1.11 ▲
SportingBet
6.75
1.10
Unibet
6.50 ▼
1.09 ▲
William Hill
6.50
1.11
fonbet
7.00
1.10 ▲
Consensus
6.44 ▼
1.10 ▼
R. Collignon at 1.10
71%
win rate at similar odds (7 matches) · market implies 91%
O/U Games 32.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.79
1.87
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Novibet
1.83
1.90 ▲
Consensus
1.81
1.89 ▲
O/U Games 33.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.90
1.85
1xBet
1.84
1.87
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.85 ▼
Games Handicap 7.00Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
1xBet
1.95
1.77
Consensus
1.95
1.77
Games Handicap 7.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
Bet365
1.73
2.00
Betsson
1.79 ▼
1.92 ▲
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Novibet
1.67 ▲
2.05 ▼
Consensus
1.75 ▲
1.97 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
1.83
1.83
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.98 ▼
1.73 ▲
Unibet
1.85
1.85
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
O/U Sets 3.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.94
1.79 ▼
Betsson
2.04 ▲
1.69 ▼
Betway
1.95
1.75
Novibet
2.00 ▼
1.71 ▲
Unibet
2.06
1.70
William Hill
2.00
1.73
fonbet
1.95
1.80
Consensus
2.00
1.73 ▼
Set Handicap -2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
Unibet
17.00
1.00
William Hill
15.00 ▼
1.02
fonbet
13.00
1.01
Consensus
15.00 ▼
1.01
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
Betsson
9.20
1.03
Interwetten
9.00
1.03
Consensus
9.10
1.03
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.62
2.20
Unibet
1.62 ▲
2.21
William Hill
1.57
2.30
Consensus
1.60 ▲
2.26 ▲
Player O/U Games 12.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.79
1.92
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.80
1.91
O/U Double Faults 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.30
3.20
Consensus
1.30
3.20
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
2.00
1.72
Consensus
2.00
1.72
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
10bet
4.00
1.22
1xBet
3.40
1.28
888Sport
3.75 ▼
1.25
Bet365
4.33
1.22
Betsson
4.02 ▼
1.23 ▲
Betway
3.75
1.25
Bwin
3.90
1.22 ▲
Interwetten
3.80
1.22
Novibet
4.20 ▲
1.22 ▼
SportingBet
3.90
1.22 ▲
Unibet
3.90 ▼
1.22 ▼
William Hill
3.75
1.25
fonbet
3.95 ▲
1.25
Consensus
3.94
1.23 ▲
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.02
18.00 ▲
William Hill
1.02
15.00
fonbet
1.01
15.00
Consensus
1.01 ▼
16.00 ▼
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.08 ▼
6.50
Consensus
1.08 ▼
6.50
Games Handicap -2.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
fonbet
8.00
1.05
Consensus
8.00
1.05
Games Handicap -1.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
fonbet
4.70
1.14
Consensus
4.70
1.14
Games Handicap 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
Betsson
1.70 ▲
2.04
Interwetten
1.70
2.05
Novibet
1.57
2.25
Consensus
1.66 ▲
2.11 ▼
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.93 ▼
1.75 ▲
Consensus
1.93 ▲
1.75 ▼
Player O/U Games 2.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.27
3.40 ▲
William Hill
1.33
3.25
Consensus
1.33 ▲
3.25 ▼
Player O/U Games 11.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.62
2.20
Consensus
1.62
2.20
Player O/U Games 12.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.79
1.92
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.80
1.91
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
1xBet
3.80
1.23 ▲
888Sport
3.75
1.25
Betway
3.75
1.25
Bwin
4.00
1.22
Interwetten
3.80
1.22
Novibet
3.90 ▼
1.23 ▲
SportingBet
4.00
1.22
Unibet
3.80
1.23 ▲
William Hill
3.75
1.25
Consensus
3.84 ▼
1.23 ▲
O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.01
11.00
Consensus
1.01
11.00
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.09
6.50
Consensus
1.09
6.50
Games Handicap 1.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
1xBet
2.80
1.38 ▼
Marathon
2.80
1.38
Consensus
2.80
1.38 ▼
Games Handicap 2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
Novibet
1.60
2.20
Consensus
1.60
2.20
Games Handicap 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
S. Gorzny
R. Collignon
Betsson
1.79
1.92
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Novibet
1.70
2.05
Consensus
1.76
1.96
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.94
1.79 ▼
Betsson
1.85
1.85
Novibet
1.90 ▼
1.78 ▲
Consensus
1.90 ▼
1.78 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.71
2.04
Consensus
1.71
2.04
Player O/U Games 4.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Marathon
2.39
1.51
Consensus
2.39
1.51
Player O/U Games 11.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.62
2.20
Consensus
1.62
2.20
Player O/U Games 12.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Betsson
1.79
1.92
Interwetten
1.80
1.90
Consensus
1.80
1.91