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Match facts
Tournament
Cincinnati
Category
Masters1000
Round
Round of 64
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Frances Tiafoe is ranked 61 places higher
Recent form
L. Sonego 2 of last 5
W J. Shang 2–0 L T. Griekspoor 0–2 L R. Collignon 0–2 W J. Schwaerzler 2–0 L T. Fritz 1–3F. Tiafoe 2 of last 5
L A. Rinderknech 0–1 W M. Čilić 2–1 L T. Atmane 1–2 L A. Bublik 2–3 W J. Choinski 3–1Win probability
L. SonegoF. Tiafoe
55%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+61 places)
- 2 tiers above
- More effective serve
- Strong in tiebreaks (54%)
L. Sonego
3.20
consensus price, since opening
F. Tiafoe
1.36
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
L. Sonego
F. Tiafoe
Gamdom
2.95
1.32
Consensus
3.20
1.36
F. Tiafoe at 1.36
85%
win rate at similar odds (20 matches) · market implies 74% · value signal