← All tennis
Match facts
Tournament
Cincinnati
Category
Masters1000
Round
Round of 64
Surface
hard
Key factors
Ranking
Daniil Medvedev is ranked 84 places higher
Surface
Daniil Medvedev wins +21% more on this surface
Form
Marco Trungelliti comes in with better momentum
Serve
Daniil Medvedev has the stronger first serve
Recent form
M. Trungelliti 3 of last 5
W H. Medjedović 2–0 W K. Nishikori 2–1 W S. Ofner 2–1 L N. Mejia 1–2 L Y. Hanfmann 0–2D. Medvedev 2 of last 5
L B. Van de Zandschulp 0–2 L J. Struff 0–3 W D. Merida 3–1 W M. Čilić 3–0 L D. Altmaier 1–2Win probability
M. TrungellitiD. Medvedev
76%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+84 places)
- 3 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (65% win rate)
- More effective serve
M. Trungelliti
6.00
consensus price, since opening
D. Medvedev
1.13
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
M. Trungelliti
D. Medvedev
Gamdom
5.20
1.10
Consensus
6.00
1.13
D. Medvedev at 1.13
69%
win rate at similar odds (16 matches) · market implies 88%