Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Paolo Vanoli
Fiorentina
Pisa**Fiorentina are heavy favorites on paper, but Pisa's been quietly solid — this Coppa clash could be spicier than the odds suggest.** 🏆
Fiorentina's form is messy: two wins wrapped around three defeats, including a brutal 0-3 home loss to Frosinone. Pisa, meanwhile, have won two of their last five with a tidy 4-1 demolition of Bologna tucked in there. The H2H heavily favors Florence (8 wins, just 1 loss), but cups are where underdogs breathe.
Key storylines:
- **Fiorentina's defensive frailty** — conceded three at home last time out; Pisa's attacking shape under **Moreo and Marras** could punish that.
- **Pisa missing Pittarello** — removes a creative outlet, but **Scuffet** in goal has kept them compact this season.
- **De Gea's Coppa debut** — Florence's new shot-stopper has everything to prove in a competition where slip-ups hurt.
Expected lineups:
- **Fiorentina**: De Gea, Drăguşin, Ranieri, Viery, Valdepeñas, Ndour, Atta, Fagioli, Mastantuono, Pellegrino, Njie
- **Pisa**: Scuffet, Canestrelli, Caracciolo, Bozhinov, Angori, Léris, Calabresi, Vural, Piccinini, Moreo, Marras
Prediction:
**Fiorentina 2-1 Pisa.** Expect a tense first half, then Florence's class shows in the second. Pisa won't roll over, but the Serie A side should edge through. 🎯
Fiorentina
4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Pisa
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.7% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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