Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Fluminense looks primed to roll at the Maracanã — Platense arrive in Argentina's backyard on the back of four games without a win.** 🔴⚪
Flu's humming with **three wins in five**, including a gritty 3-3 draw away at Athletico that showed some mettle. Platense, meanwhile, are grinding: one win, three draws, one loss in their last stretch tells you they're hanging on by a thread defensively.
Key storylines:
- **Hulk and G. Cano** lead Fluminense's offensive charge while Platense lean heavily on **N. Retamar** and **G. Mainero** to unlock a stubborn backline
- Flu have fitness issues piling up (Alisson, Hércules, Jemmes sidelined), but their core XI still packs more punch than what Platense can field right now
- **Maracanã fortress**: home advantage matters in Copa Libertadores, and Fluminense's form at this venue leans their way
Expected lineups:
- **Fluminense**: Fábio, Ignácio, Guga, T. Silva, Renê, Martinelli, Y. Soteldo, Hulk, Nonato, G. Cano, John Kennedy
- **Club Atlético Platense**: J. Cozzani, T. A. Silva, I. Vazquez, Víctor Cuesta, J. I. Saborido, M. Barrios, P. Ferreira, G. Togni, N. Retamar, G. Mainero, L. Heredia
Prediction:
**Fluminense 2–0 Club Atlético Platense**
Home form and momentum edge should carry Flu through a Platense side stretched thin by injuries.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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