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John van den Brom
FC Twente
Qarabağ FK
FC Twente
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Qarabağ FK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
614284 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
75.7%
+75.6 vs price
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
22.3%
-73.9 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
3.4%
-0.4 vs price
Half time
2364 EUR · live
Home
2.66 · implied 37.6%
74.5%
+36.9 vs price
Away
7.8 · implied 12.8%
18.8%
+6.0 vs price
Draw
2.02 · implied 49.5%
6.7%
-42.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
81374 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
73.8%
-25.2 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.2%
+26.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4087 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
90.1%
-6.1 vs price
Over
32.0 · implied 3.1%
9.9%
+6.8 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
R. Pröpper · Foul
28'
A. Adelgaard · Argument
28'
M. Silva · Argument
34'
D. Weidmann · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Bruns ◂ R. Pröpper
52'
⚽
K. Borges · assist M. Qurbanlı0–1
58'
R. Zerrouki · Foul
61'
🔁
S. Lammers ◂ W. Weghorst
61'
🔁
K. Hlynsson ◂ M. Pjaca
66'
D. Rots · Argument
75'
🔁
Dani Bolt ◂ M. Qurbanlı
83'
🔁
L. V. o. Hesselink ◂ D. Weidmann
83'
🔁
F. Thorvaldsen ◂ A. Adelgaard
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
John van den BromGurban Gurbanov 
Recent form
FC TwenteWHPEC Zwolle3-1
DADAC 19043-3
LASC Heerenveen0-1
WHDAC 19046-0
LAKRC Genk1-2
Qarabağ FKWHDynamo Kyiv2-0
LADynamo Kyiv0-1
DACSKA Sofia0-0
DHCSKA Sofia0-0
WAIF Vestri3-0
Match facts
Stadium
De Grolsch Veste
City
Enschede
Kickoff
20 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
FC Twente
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Qarabağ FK
1
L. Unnerstall
6.8
28
B. van Rooij
7.2
38
M. Bruns
6.7
↑ 46'
43
R. Nijstad
7.0
17
F. Thorvaldsen
6.6
↑ 83'
6
R. Zerrouki
7.1
14
K. Hlynsson
6.6
↑ 61'
11
D. Rots
5.9
25
L. V. o. Hesselink
6.5
↑ 83'
27
S. Ørjasæter
7.2
10
S. Lammers
6.3
↑ 61'
23
M. Zlomislić
7.3
2
M. Silva
6.5
55
B. Huseynov
7.1
4
B. Várkonyi
7.1
5
B. Langa
7.8
88
S. Lobato
6.7
8
M. Janković
7.2
21
O. Kashchuk
6.6
20
K. Borges
7.6
7
J. Mouaddib
7.4
18
Dani Bolt
6.6
↑ 75'
Substitutes
16GJ. Drommel
22GR. Pasveer
3DR. Pröpper↓ 46'7.0
29DA. Adelgaard↓ 83'6.4
12DG. Peixoto
24DK. Kurowski
42MD. Weidmann↓ 83'7.2
4MM. Kjølø
19MY. Taha
20MT. V. d. Belt
9FW. Weghorst↓ 61'6.6
7FM. Pjaca↓ 61'6.4
Coach: John van den Brom
Substitutes
1GŞ. Mahammadaliev
99GM. Kochalski
13DB. Mustafazada
9MJ. Montiel
32MH. Cabrayilzada
49MA. Bashirov
22FM. Qurbanlı↓ 75'6.5
Coach: Gurban Gurbanov
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
21Total shots7
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
5Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target3
11Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box6
9Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
Attack
31Touches in box13
87Final third entries36
1Offsides1
4Free kicks13
Passing
523Passes343
438Accurate passes260
31/53 (58%)Long balls26/67 (39%)
8/25 (32%)Crosses3/8 (38%)
30Throw-ins26
Duels
52Duels48
31/68 (46%)Ground duels37/68 (54%)
14/19 (74%)Aerial duels5/19 (26%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles7/20 (35%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
19Tackles17
53Tackles won47
6Interceptions13
8Clearances37
54Recoveries49
Discipline
13Fouls4
5Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
2Big saves1
4Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsTwente to win (DNB) 75% · mkt 1.23
1X2Twente to win 58% · mkt 1.59
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · mkt 1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · mkt 1.2
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · mkt 1.7
1X2Draw 23% · mkt 3.94
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · mkt 1.42
1X2Qarabağ to win 19% · mkt 4.93
Odds closing line
1X2consensus
1.60
Twente
4.00
Draw
4.90
Qarabağ
Over / Under 2.5consensus
1.67
Over 2.5
2.08
Under 2.5
Over / Under 1.5consensus
1.20
Over 1.5
4.00
Under 1.5
Both teams to scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.00
No
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Twente to win or draw
✗
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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