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Didier Tholot
FC Sion
AFC Ajax
FC Sion
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
AFC Ajax
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
407172 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
53.7%
-45.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
41.0%
+40.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.6%
+5.5 vs price
Half time
810 EUR · live
Away
2.84 · implied 35.2%
73.2%
+38.0 vs price
Home
4.6 · implied 21.7%
18.8%
-3.0 vs price
Draw
2.46 · implied 40.7%
7.8%
-32.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
41001 EUR · live
Over
1.31 · implied 76.3%
73.9%
-2.4 vs price
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
26.1%
+1.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2610 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
83.5%
-5.7 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
16.4%
+6.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
Baltazar · Foul
34'
⚽
F. Surdez · assist A. Kabacalman1–0
36'
Y. Regeer · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
J. Mokio ◂ Y. Regeer
53'
⚽
J. Brandt1–1
60'
⚽
M. Leonardo1–2
69'
J. Mokio · Foul
71'
⚽
Y. Chouaref (pen)2–2
73'
🔁
T. Arokodare ◂ M. Leonardo
73'
🔁
O. Wijndal ◂ C. Henrique
73'
🔁
A. Ouazane ◂ O. Gloukh
74'
⚽
T. Arokodare2–3
75'
🔁
F. Sylla ◂ R. Nivokazi
75'
🔁
D. Rrudhani ◂ F. Surdez
77'
A. Gaaei · Foul
78'
🔁
L. Rosa ◂ A. Gaaei
82'
🔁
T. Berdayes ◂ W. Boteli Mokango
82'
🔁
J. Lukembila ◂ Baltazar
85'
🔁
B. Kololli ◂ Y. Chouaref
87'
⚽
D. Klaassen · assist T. Arokodare2–4
Full-time · 2–4
90'+5
L. Rosa · Time wasting
Coaches
Didier TholotMichel 
Recent form
FC SionWHFC Noah2-1
WHFC Vaduz3-2
DAFC Noah2-2
WHFC Luzern3-0
WHBATE Borisov4-0
AFC AjaxDHSC Heerenveen2-2
DAShelbourne2-2
WAPEC Zwolle2-0
WHShelbourne3-1
WAFC Volendam3-1
Match facts
Stadium
Tourbillon
City
Sion
Kickoff
20 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
FC Sion
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
AFC Ajax
1
A. Racioppi
7.2
14
N. Lavanchy
6.1
5
N. Sow
5.9
17
J. Kronig
5.9
20
N. Hefti
6.2
88
A. Kabacalman
6.9
9
J. Lukembila
6.5
↑ 82'
10
B. Kololli
6.5
↑ 85'
29
T. Berdayes
6.4
↑ 82'
37
F. Sylla
6.4
↑ 75'
77
D. Rrudhani
6.4
↑ 75'
1
M. ter Stegen
6.7
2
L. Rosa
6.7
↑ 78'
30
A. Bouwman
7.4
15
Y. Baas
7.1
5
O. Wijndal
6.8
↑ 73'
18
D. Klaassen
7.5
24
J. Mokio
6.3
↑ 46'
8
J. Brandt
8.1
23
S. Berghuis
6.9
68
A. Ouazane
6.7
↑ 73'
99
T. Arokodare
7.9
↑ 73'
Top stats
38%Possession62%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots23
4Shots on target8
1Big chances3
5Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target10
2Blocked shots5
8Shots inside box14
4Shots outside box9
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed1
Attack
26Touches in box32
37Final third entries65
0Offsides1
9Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
378Passes634
312Accurate passes572
17/37 (46%)Long balls27/37 (73%)
4/21 (19%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
12Throw-ins14
Duels
51Duels49
33/62 (53%)Ground duels29/62 (47%)
7/17 (41%)Aerial duels10/17 (59%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles9/19 (47%)
7Dispossessed8
Defending
18Tackles13
72Tackles won92
11Interceptions12
28Clearances11
44Recoveries43
Discipline
7Fouls10
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 72% · mkt 1.28
1X2Ajax to win 54% · mkt 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · mkt 1.57
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · mkt 1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · mkt 1.16
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54%
1X2Draw 23% · mkt 4.1
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · mkt 1.49
1X2Sion to win 23% · mkt 3.97
Odds closing line
1X2consensus
4.07
Sion
4.15
Draw
1.70
Ajax
Over / Under 2.5consensus
1.57
Over 2.5
2.30
Under 2.5
Over / Under 1.5consensus
1.17
Over 1.5
4.50
Under 1.5
Both teams to scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.20
No
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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