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Niels Frederiksen
Lech Poznań
FC Thun
Lech Poznań
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
FC Thun
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
165049 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.8%
-6.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.8%
+3.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.4%
+3.3 vs price
Half time
705 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
79.5%
-17.6 vs price
Draw
6.6 · implied 15.2%
10.9%
-4.2 vs price
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
9.5%
-5.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14492 EUR · live
Over
1.06 · implied 94.3%
83.7%
-10.7 vs price
Under
17.0 · implied 5.9%
16.4%
+10.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3287 EUR · live
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
58.9%
+14.2 vs price
Over
1.76 · implied 56.8%
41.1%
-15.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Tap a player for their full match card.
Match events
10'
⚽
P. Wålemark · assist A. Sayyad1–0
20'
⚽
A. Sayyad · assist P. Rodríguez2–0
25'
⚽
P. Wålemark · assist M. Gurgul3–0
31'
⚽
M. Skrzypczak · assist A. Kozubal4–0
37'
🔁
D. Håkans ◂ P. Wålemark
Half-time · 5–0
45'
⚽
R. Murawski · assist P. Rodríguez5–0
45'+1
🔁
F. Dursun ◂ J. Roth
46'
🔁
F. Saiz ◂ N. Zoukit
46'
🔁
T. Strannegård ◂ M. Heule
48'
⚽
D. Håkans6–0
50'
N. Reichmuth
56'
🔁
N. Bürgy ◂ N. Reichmuth
64'
🔁
R. Gumny ◂ P. Rodríguez
64'
🔁
G. Berggren ◂ L. Palma
66'
VAR
Goal not given after review · F. Dursun
70'
T. Strannegård
79'
⚽
R. Gumny · assist G. Berggren7–0
80'
🔁
W. Szymczak ◂ A. Sayyad
80'
🔁
K. Delikat ◂ A. Kozubal
82'
🔁
L. Dähler ◂ B. Labeau
87'
R. Murawski
Full-time · 7–0
Coaches
Gian Luca Privitelli 
Recent form
WAKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag5-0
WHPiast Gliwice3-0
WHKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag1-0
WAWieczysta Kraków2-1
LHAGF1-4
LAVíkingur Reykjavík2-3
LABasel2-4
WHVíkingur Reykjavík3-0
LHBSC Young Boys0-6
LAGNK Dinamo Zagreb2-3
Match facts
Stadium
Enea Poznań
City
Poznan
Kickoff
20 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Europa League
1
M. Lis
2
J. Pereira
27
W. Mońka
72
M. Skrzypczak
⚽1
15
M. Gurgul
53
K. Delikat
↑ 80'
22
R. Murawski
⚽1
11
D. Håkans
↑ 37'
20
R. Gumny
↑ 64'
5
G. Berggren
↑ 64'
56
W. Szymczak
↑ 80'
1
N. Steffen
47
F. Fehr
19
J. Bamert
23
M. Bürki
18
T. Strannegård
↑ 46'
5
N. Bürgy
↑ 56'
9
F. Dursun
↑ 45'
8
F. Saiz
↑ 46'
78
V. Matoshi
33
M. Gutbub
37
L. Dähler
↑ 82'
Substitutes
35GM. Pruchniewski
41GB. Mrozek
3DA. Douglas
59DT. Yegbe
10MP. Wålemark↓ 37'
21MP. Rodríguez↓ 64'
77ML. Palma↓ 64'
43MA. Kozubal↓ 80'
17MA. Sayyad↓ 80'
7FY. Agnero
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Substitutes
25GT. Spycher
22GD. Wälti
27DM. Heule↓ 46'
17DA. Balaruban
16MJ. Roth↓ 45'
13MN. Zoukit↓ 46'
70MN. Reichmuth↓ 56'
21MD. Derbaci
96FB. Labeau↓ 82'
20FR. Braschi
30FN. Maier
80FS. Lengen
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Top stats
56%Possession44%
11Shots on target4
5Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
1Offsides2
16Free kicks8
Passing
12Throw-ins12
Discipline
8Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsLech to win (DNB) 74% · mkt 1.25
1X2Lech to win 58% · mkt 1.59
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64%
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · mkt 1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · mkt 1.2
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · mkt 1.72
1X2Draw 23% · mkt 4.05
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · mkt 1.42
1X2Thun to win 19% · mkt 4.97
Odds closing line
1X2consensus
1.57
Lech
4.20
Draw
5.10
Thun
Over / Under 2.5consensus
1.59
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
Over / Under 1.5consensus
1.18
Over 1.5
4.50
Under 1.5
Both teams to scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes
2.10
No
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Lech Poznań to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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