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Julio Velazquez
Levski Sofia
AEK Athens
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
AEK Athens
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
480855 EUR · live
Away
46.0 · implied 2.2%
48.8%
+46.6 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
39.0%
-58.1 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
12.2%
+11.2 vs price
Half time
3350 EUR · live
Draw
1.54 · implied 64.9%
44.6%
-20.3 vs price
Away
5.1 · implied 19.6%
31.5%
+11.9 vs price
Home
6.6 · implied 15.2%
23.9%
+8.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
75378 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
73.1%
-25.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.9%
+26.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7205 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.3%
-2.7 vs price
Over
70.0 · implied 1.4%
3.7%
+2.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
57'
🔁
P. Mantalos ◂ L. Majer
57'
🔁
B. Varga ◂ L. Jović
67'
🔁
Perea ◂ A. Oko-Flex
79'
🔁
M. Soula ◂ E. Bala
79'
🔁
A. Mitkov ◂ Reinaldo
81'
🔁
M. Gaćinović ◂ A. Koita
81'
🔁
O. Zubkov ◂ Zini
88'
🔁
H. Santos ◂ Aldair
89'
🔁
S. Stoyanchov ◂ Maicon
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Julio VelazquezMarko Nikolić 
Recent form
Levski SofiaWAKairat Almaty1-0
WHLokomotiv Plovdiv2-0
WHKairat Almaty1-0
WHFK Septemvri Sofia3-0
DAUniversitatea Craiova2-2
AEK AthensWHAthens Kallithea FC4-0
WHSint-Truidense VV3-0
LHSamsunspor1-2
WAPEC Zwolle3-2
WAFC Groningen2-1
Where to watch
Cytavision Sports 3HDCytavision Sports 4K 1
DAZN
TNT Sports 2
Arena Sport 3 HR
TNT Sports 2
Match facts
Stadium
Georgi Asparuhov Stadium
City
Sofia
Kickoff
18 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Highlights & clips
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
AEK Athens
92
S. Vutsov
7.5
2
H. Santos
↑ 88'
50
K. Dimitrov
7.8
31
N. Serafimov
7.3
20
Á. Centelles
6.7
19
E. M. Moubarik
7.2
28
S. Stoyanchov
↑ 89'
9
Perea
6.5
↑ 67'
35
Serginho
7.6
10
A. Mitkov
6.7
↑ 79'
22
M. Soula
6.3
↑ 79'
1
T. Strakosha
7.1
12
L. Rota
7.1
2
H. Moukoudi
6.7
44
F. Relvas
7.6
3
S. Pilios
7.2
20
P. Mantalos
6.7
↑ 57'
18
R. Marin
6.6
6
K. Kairinen
6.4
8
M. Gaćinović
6.7
↑ 81'
10
O. Zubkov
6.5
↑ 81'
25
B. Varga
6.8
↑ 57'
Substitutes
78GM. Lukov
1GO. Vladimirov
3DMaicon↓ 89'7.4
21DAldair↓ 88'6.8
4DC. Makoun
11MA. Oko-Flex↓ 67'6.6
17ME. Bala↓ 79'6.5
18MG. Trdin
27MD. Kusso
77MA. Raychev
7FReinaldo↓ 79'6.2
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Substitutes
91GA. Brignoli
41GM. Balamotis
15DM. Georgiev
21DD. Vida
11MA. Koita↓ 81'7.3
14ML. Majer↓ 57'7.0
7MD. Kutesa
17MD. Kaloskamis
90FZini↓ 81'6.4
9FL. Jović↓ 57'6.3
Coach: Marko Nikolić
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
15Total shots12
3Shots on target1
0Big chances1
1Corners2
Shots
8Shots off target9
4Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
13Touches in box16
39Final third entries37
0Offsides1
17Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
490Passes458
432Accurate passes397
30/52 (58%)Long balls21/42 (50%)
1/11 (9%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
14Throw-ins16
Duels
53Duels47
34/62 (55%)Ground duels28/62 (45%)
13/26 (50%)Aerial duels13/26 (50%)
2/9 (22%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles15
60Tackles won60
6Interceptions11
20Clearances17
33Recoveries36
Discipline
8Fouls17
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
12Goal kicks5
0Punches1
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsAEK to win (DNB) 54% · mkt 1.72
1X2AEK to win 38% · mkt 2.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · mkt 1.64
1X2Draw 30% · mkt 3.12
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · mkt 1.22
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · mkt 1.35
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · mkt 1.86
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · mkt 1.37
1X2Levski Sofia to win 32% · mkt 2.95
Odds closing line
1X2consensus
3.30
Levski Sofia
3.05
Draw
2.35
AEK
Over / Under 2.5consensus
2.35
Over 2.5
1.57
Under 2.5
Over / Under 1.5consensus
1.44
Over 1.5
2.70
Under 1.5
Both teams to scoreconsensus
1.97
Yes
1.76
No
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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