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Luc Holtz
Metz
Guingamp
Metz
5-3-2 · 4-4-2
Guingamp
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
56131 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
80.6%
-16.5 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
10.7%
+7.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.7%
+8.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
183 EUR
Over
2.02 · implied 49.5%
80.4%
+30.9 vs price
Under
1.98 · implied 50.5%
19.2%
-31.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
363 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.4%
-0.7 vs price
Over
23.0 · implied 4.3%
1.4%
-3.0 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Player of the match
Match events
19'
J. Deminguet · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
51'
⚽
A. Demouchy · assist A. Hemia0–1
54'
A. Demouchy · Foul
57'
🔁
T. Ducrocq ◂ F. S. D. Silva
58'
⚽
P. M. Fall · assist M. Colin1–1
60'
⚽
G. Abuashvili · assist J. Deminguet2–1
65'
🔁
H. Kadamani ◂ B. Munongo
66'
🔁
D. Gomis ◂ J. Dianganga
66'
🔁
J. Chamakh ◂ A. Hemia
66'
🔁
S. B. Brahim ◂ T. Ahile
74'
🔁
V. M. W. Mungu ◂ J. Matumona
79'
🔁
N. Mendy ◂ N. Mbala
79'
🔁
H. Diallo ◂ P. M. Fall
82'
🔁
M. B. Mputu ◂ G. Abuashvili
Full-time · 2–1
90'+2
I. Mohamed · Foul
Coaches
Luc HoltzSylvain Ripoll 
Recent form
MetzWHFortuna Sittard3-1
WHSochaux4-1
WHRFC Seraing6-0
WHRacing FC Union Luxembourg2-1
DHFC Versailles 781-1
GuingampDAStade Brestois3-3
LHLorient0-2
LHUS Concarneau0-1
LAStade Rennais1-3
LAClermont Foot0-1
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 7
beIN Sports MAX 7
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Saint Symphorien
City
Metz
Referee
Aurelien Petit
Kickoff
08 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
Metz
5-3-2 · 4-4-2
Guingamp
1
J. Fischer
7.5
6
N. Mendy
6.6
↑ 79'
2
M. Colin
7.3
42
C. Castro
6.7
5
J. Ruiz
7.1
3
F. Miguel
6.5
98
I. Mohamed
6.8
38
H. Kadamani
6.7
↑ 65'
19
M. B. Mputu
6.7
↑ 82'
8
J. Deminguet
6.9
20
H. Diallo
6.4
↑ 79'
16
A. Ortolá
7.7
39
V. M. W. Mungu
6.7
↑ 74'
36
A. Demouchy
7.8
7
D. Gomis
7.1
↑ 66'
2
E. Koffi
6.3
11
T. Averlant
6.4
4
D. Louiserre
7.2
23
J. Chamakh
6.7
↑ 66'
25
T. Ducrocq
6.5
↑ 57'
20
S. B. Brahim
6.5
↑ 66'
18
S. Kielt
6.5
Substitutes
61GP. Sy
32DA. Marchal
25DC. Mélières
18MB. Munongo↓ 65'6.2
21MJ. Pandore
9FG. Abuashvili↓ 82'7.8
11FP. M. Fall↓ 79'6.7
22FN. Mbala↓ 79'6.6
7FI. Sane
Coach: Luc Holtz
Substitutes
1GT. Bartouche
24DJ. Dianganga↓ 66'6.7
3DJ. Matumona↓ 74'6.6
8MF. S. D. Silva↓ 57'6.5
21MT. Ahile↓ 66'6.5
31MJ. Matondo
32MI. Diakité
10FA. Hemia↓ 66'7.0
38E. Aucan
Coach: Sylvain Ripoll
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
15Total shots12
7Shots on target7
3Big chances1
5Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target5
5Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
Attack
20Touches in box21
49Final third entries64
0Offsides1
9Free kicks16
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
377Passes557
321Accurate passes489
22/45 (49%)Long balls33/56 (59%)
6/16 (38%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
16Throw-ins25
Duels
50Duels50
30/66 (45%)Ground duels36/65 (55%)
14/22 (64%)Aerial duels8/22 (36%)
4/13 (31%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
17Tackles15
59Tackles won60
11Interceptions4
22Clearances21
41Recoveries36
Discipline
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves5
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks4
2Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
1X2Draw 28% · 3.55 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.93 @ Marathon
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
Who winsMetz to win (DNB) 61% · 1.58 @ betinasia
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.82 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ Betway
1X2Metz to win 44% · 2.21 @ betinasia
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ 10bet
1X2Guingamp to win 28% · 3.84 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ betfred
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.11
Metz
3.32
Draw
3.28
Guingamp
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Metz or Draw
1.29
Metz or Guingamp
1.67
Draw or Guingamp
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.96
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
9.18
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.28
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.10
Over 4.50 ▼
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.52
Metz
2.37
Guingamp
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50 ▲
8.10
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50 ▼
4.81
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50 ▼
3.17
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50 ▲
2.25
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.96
Over 9.50 ▲
1.74
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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