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Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Boca Juniors
Vélez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Vélez Sarsfield
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
378100 EUR · live
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
61.9%
+38.1 vs price
Draw
1.43 · implied 69.9%
24.5%
-45.4 vs price
Away
17.5 · implied 5.7%
13.7%
+7.9 vs price
Half time
1340 EUR · live
Home
2.48 · implied 40.3%
44.9%
+4.6 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
39.0%
-6.1 vs price
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
16.1%
+4.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
171341 EUR · live
Under
1.46 · implied 68.5%
76.0%
+7.5 vs price
Over
3.25 · implied 30.8%
24.0%
-6.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2525 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
95.4%
+0.2 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
4.5%
-1.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
D. Valdés0–1
36'
L. Blanco · Foul
39'
⚽
S. Ascacíbar1–1
42'
L. Robertone · Foul
44'
A. Costa · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
M. Pellegrino ◂ A. Costa
46'
🔁
S. Escobar ◂ D. Valdés
54'
E. Gómez · Foul
60'
M. Pellegrini · Foul
63'
🔁
C. Baeza ◂ E. Gómez
63'
🔁
A. Velasco ◂ T. Aranda
63'
🔁
T. Aguirre ◂ D. Godoy
63'
🔁
M. Giménez ◂ M. Merentiel
74'
🔁
S. Villa ◂ L. Flores
82'
🔁
Á. Verón ◂ M. Lanzini
82'
🔁
L. Feler ◂ L. Robertone
88'
J. García · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
-5'
G. Schelotto · Argument
Coaches
Guillermo Schelotto 
Recent form
WHEstudiantes de La Plata1-0
DANewell's Old Boys2-2
LAO'Higgins0-1
LADeportivo Riestra0-3
WHO'Higgins1-0
WHCA Independiente1-0
WACA Talleres3-1
WHInstituto De Córdoba1-0
LHGimnasia y Esgrima0-1
DHNewell's Old Boys1-1
Where to watch
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Premier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
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Arena Sport 1 HR
Premier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
SportItalia
Arena Sport Premium 2
Disney+ Premium MexicoTyC Sports Internacional
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Arena Sport Premium 2
SportItalia
Match facts
Stadium
Alberto Jose Armando
City
Buenos Aires
Referee
Yael Falcon Perez
Kickoff
08 Aug, 22:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
1
Á. Montero
7.1
17
L. Lozano
6.5
2
L. D. Lollo
7.2
26
M. Pellegrino
6.7
↑ 46'
3
L. Blanco
6.8
25
S. Ascacíbar
7.4
5
L. Paredes
9.0
18
M. Delgado
7.3
22
S. Villa
7.1
↑ 74'
20
A. Velasco
6.7
↑ 63'
9
M. Giménez
6.6
↑ 63'
1
T. Marchiori
8.4
4
J. García
6.5
32
T. Silvero
7.9
2
E. Mammana
7.0
5
C. Baeza
6.9
↑ 63'
29
R. Aliendro
6.5
48
L. Feler
6.7
↑ 82'
11
M. Pellegrini
5.8
18
S. Escobar
7.0
↑ 46'
17
Á. Verón
6.5
↑ 82'
39
T. Aguirre
6.5
↑ 63'
Substitutes
12GL. Brey
32DA. Costa↓ 46'6.3
24DD. Gorosito
4DN. Figal
27DM. Braida
10MT. Aranda↓ 63'6.9
15MW. Alarcón
21MK. Zenón
23MC. R. Domenech
16FM. Merentiel↓ 63'7.1
19FL. Flores↓ 74'7.0
11FÁ. Romero
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Substitutes
25GF. Villalba
34GÁ. Busso
3DE. Gómez↓ 63'6.6
47DA. Pereyra
19DL. Cristaldo
16DL. Magallán
10MD. Valdés↓ 46'7.1
22MM. Lanzini↓ 82'6.8
8ML. Robertone↓ 82'6.7
15FD. Godoy↓ 63'6.6
37FJ. C. Policella
30FL. Piola
Coach: Guillermo Schelotto
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.95Expected goals (xG)0.72
27Total shots8
9Shots on target4
5Big chances1
6Corners4
Shots
12Shots off target3
6Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box3
11Shots outside box5
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed1
-0.14Goals prevented0.91
Attack
35Touches in box10
61Final third entries42
3Offsides2
10Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
553Passes397
463Accurate passes304
29/50 (58%)Long balls24/64 (38%)
8/35 (23%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
16Throw-ins14
Duels
56Duels46
38/76 (50%)Ground duels41/79 (52%)
21/30 (70%)Aerial duels9/30 (30%)
8/21 (38%)Dribbles8/19 (42%)
7Dispossessed11
Defending
21Tackles22
71Tackles won77
13Interceptions9
14Clearances31
70Recoveries51
Discipline
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves8
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks17
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 64% · 1.60 @ Interwetten
Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 72% · 1.21 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 60% · 1.60 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.20 @ Interwetten
1X2Boca Juniors to win 51% · 1.65 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 29% · 3.69 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.40 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
1X2Vélez Sarsfield to win 19% · 6.81 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 61% · 1.52 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.61
Boca Juniors ▼
3.53
Draw ▼
6.12
Vélez Sarsfield ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Boca Juniors or Draw ▼
1.28
Boca Juniors or Vélez Sarsfield ▼
2.25
Draw or Vélez Sarsfield ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.39
Yes ▼
1.53
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50
6.80
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50 ▼
2.50
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.50
Over 2.50 ▼
1.50
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.90
Over 3.50 ▼
1.17
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.89
Over 4.50 ▼
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.19
Boca Juniors ▼
4.34
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.00
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50 ▼
10.75
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50 ▲
6.19
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50 ▼
3.75
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.42
Over 7.50 ▲
2.61
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.74
Over 8.50 ▲
1.96
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.22
Over 9.50 ▲
1.57
Under 9.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
Boca Juniors to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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