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Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes de La Plata
Boca Juniors
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes de La Plata
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
284333 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.0%
-12.0 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
7.5%
+6.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.5%
+5.4 vs price
Half time
2594 EUR · live
Home
3.9 · implied 25.6%
42.7%
+17.0 vs price
Draw
1.61 · implied 62.1%
33.9%
-28.2 vs price
Away
10.5 · implied 9.5%
23.4%
+13.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
159490 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.1%
-10.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.9%
+11.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7157 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.3%
-7.7 vs price
Over
48.0 · implied 2.1%
9.7%
+7.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 1–0
45'+1
⚽
S. Ascacíbar · assist L. Blanco1–0
56'
E. Piovi · Foul
60'
🔁
B. Aguirre ◂ J. Tobio Burgos
60'
🔁
E. Cetré ◂ F. Pérez
67'
🔁
S. Villa ◂ M. Merentiel
68'
🔁
G. Neves ◂ T. Palacios
68'
🔁
F. Farías ◂ A. Castro
74'
L. Flores · Foul
78'
G. Neves · Foul
80'
🔁
A. Velasco ◂ T. Aranda
85'
🔁
C. R. Domenech ◂ L. Paredes
85'
🔁
K. Zenón ◂ L. Flores
86'
🔁
L. Alario ◂ E. Piovi
Full-time · 1–0
90'
G. Benedetti · Foul
Coaches
Rodolfo ArruabarrenaAlexander Medina 
Recent form
Boca JuniorsDANewell's Old Boys2-2
LAO'Higgins0-1
LADeportivo Riestra0-3
WHO'Higgins1-0
WHAthletico1-0
Estudiantes de La PlataWHDefensa y Justicia3-0
LHCA Independiente0-2
WHIndependiente Medellín1-0
LAFlamengo0-1
LHRacing Club0-1
Where to watch
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M+ Vamos
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
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TyC Sports Internacional
Arena Sport 1 HR
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
SportItalia
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Match facts
Stadium
Alberto Jose Armando
City
Buenos Aires
Referee
Nazareno Arasa
Kickoff
05 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
Boca Juniors
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes de La Plata
1
Á. Montero
8.0
17
L. Lozano
7.1
2
L. D. Lollo
7.5
26
M. Pellegrino
6.9
3
L. Blanco
8.1
23
C. R. Domenech
6.7
↑ 85'
21
K. Zenón
6.7
↑ 85'
25
S. Ascacíbar
7.4
18
M. Delgado
7.3
20
A. Velasco
6.4
↑ 80'
22
S. Villa
6.5
↑ 67'
1
F. Iacovich
6.6
20
E. Meza
6.8
4
S. Núñez
7.5
8
G. Neves
6.7
↑ 68'
13
G. Benedetti
6.3
21
E. Piovi
7.4
11
F. Farías
6.9
↑ 68'
28
B. Aguirre
6.7
↑ 60'
27
L. Alario
6.4
↑ 86'
18
E. Cetré
6.5
↑ 60'
9
G. Carrillo
6.9
Substitutes
12GL. Brey
32DA. Costa
27DM. Braida
24DD. Gorosito
4DN. Figal
5ML. Paredes↓ 85'7.9
10MT. Aranda↓ 80'6.7
15MW. Alarcón
16FM. Merentiel↓ 67'6.7
19FL. Flores↓ 85'6.7
9FM. Giménez
11FÁ. Romero
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.77Expected goals (xG)0.37
12Total shots8
2Shots on target4
2Big chances1
5Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target3
6Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box5
5Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
0.78Goals prevented-0.54
Attack
28Touches in box18
75Final third entries53
2Offsides0
11Free kicks16
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
610Passes381
528Accurate passes306
33/58 (57%)Long balls24/48 (50%)
1/23 (4%)Crosses4/20 (20%)
17Throw-ins14
Duels
45Duels55
37/80 (46%)Ground duels43/80 (54%)
12/28 (43%)Aerial duels16/28 (57%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles10/23 (43%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
21Tackles18
71Tackles won61
4Interceptions11
24Clearances29
57Recoveries52
Discipline
16Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
10Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 65% · 1.54 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.71 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.19 @ Unibet
Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 66% · 1.40 @ midnite
1X2Draw 31% · 3.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Boca Juniors to win 47% · 2.06 @ kto
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ Bet365
1X2Estudiantes to win 22% · 5.30 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 61% · 1.60 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.91
Boca Juniors
3.08
Draw
4.47
Estudiantes de La Plata
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Boca Juniors or Draw
1.34
Boca Juniors or Estudiantes de La Plata
1.81
Draw or Estudiantes de La Plata
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.26
Yes
1.57
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50 ▼
6.20
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.52
Over 1.50
2.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.61
Over 2.50
1.45
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.18
Over 3.50
1.13
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.46
Over 4.50 ▲
1.04
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.34
Boca Juniors
3.04
Estudiantes de La Plata
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
9.90
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50 ▲
6.49
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.20
Over 6.50 ▲
3.99
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.37
Over 7.50 ▼
2.82
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.66
Over 8.50 ▼
2.08
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.09
Over 9.50 ▲
1.65
Under 9.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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