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Christopher Brazell
Valur Reykjavík
FC Nordsjælland
Valur Reykjavík
5-4-1 · 3-4-3
FC Nordsjælland
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
79354 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.2%
-4.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.4%
+3.3 vs price
Draw
450.0 · implied 0.2%
2.4%
+2.2 vs price
Half time
2979 EUR · live
Away
1.18 · implied 84.7%
85.4%
+0.6 vs price
Draw
17.0 · implied 5.9%
12.1%
+6.2 vs price
Home
15.5 · implied 6.5%
2.6%
-3.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
124058 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
83.5%
-12.7 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
16.6%
+12.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6271 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.7%
-6.3 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
7.3%
+3.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
30'
⚽
V. Berthelsen · assist I. Adel0–1
Half-time · 0–1
53'
🔁
M. Brink ◂ M. Heyde
66'
🔁
P. A. Junior ◂ V. Berthelsen
67'
🔁
H. Gunnarsson ◂ B. Heimisson
67'
🔁
I. T. Stöle ◂ D. O. Gardarson
67'
🔁
N. Røjkjær ◂ S. Acquah
77'
VAR
Penalty check · P. A. Junior
78'
⚽
N. Røjkjær (pen)0–2
79'
🔁
P. Pedersen ◂ J. Jonsson
79'
🔁
B. Antonsson Duffield ◂ A. Skoglund
79'
🔁
D. A. Kristofer ◂ L. L. Heimisson
83'
🔁
N. Markmann ◂ J. Lähteenmäki
83'
T. Haraldsson · Foul
84'
🔁
L. Nene ◂ I. Adel
88'
J. Janssen · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Jens Olsen 
Recent form
DAHŠK Zrinjski Mostar2-2
WHHŠK Zrinjski Mostar1-0
LHFK Kauno Žalgiris1-2
DAFK Kauno Žalgiris1-1
WAFlora Tallinn2-1
WHRanders FC1-0
WHGAIS6-0
DAAC Horsens1-1
LAGAIS0-1
DAHørsholm-Usserød IK2-2
Match facts
Stadium
Hlídarendi Reykjavik
City
Reykjavik
Referee
Gergo Bogar
Kickoff
06 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Conference League
18
F. Schram
7.3
3
H. Gunnarsson
6.2
↑ 67'
4
M. Nakkim
7.2
15
H. Örn Eyjólfsson
6.7
28
S. K. Friðjónsson
7.2
24
M. Veldman
6.5
5
D. A. Kristofer
6.8
↑ 79'
6
B. Antonsson Duffield
6.8
↑ 79'
12
T. Haraldsson
6.8
9
P. Pedersen
6.5
↑ 79'
11
I. T. Stöle
6.3
↑ 67'
13
A. Hansen
7.7
2
P. Ankersen
7.9
3
T. Salquist
7.5
8
N. Røjkjær
7.0
↑ 67'
23
R. Norheim
6.3
18
J. Janssen
8.2
6
M. Brink
6.6
↑ 53'
4
N. Markmann
6.5
↑ 83'
40
H. Rasmussen
6.4
10
P. A. Junior
7.4
↑ 66'
17
L. Nene
6.5
↑ 84'
Top stats
35%Possession65%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
6Total shots22
2Shots on target6
1Big chances3
3Corners9
Shots
2Shots off target11
2Blocked shots5
4Shots inside box14
2Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
Attack
12Touches in box53
28Final third entries82
0Offsides1
15Free kicks5
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
354Passes675
291Accurate passes612
26/50 (52%)Long balls22/40 (55%)
2/9 (22%)Crosses4/22 (18%)
5Throw-ins16
Duels
54Duels46
31/58 (53%)Ground duels27/58 (47%)
6/11 (55%)Aerial duels5/11 (45%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
7Dispossessed3
Defending
10Tackles14
40Tackles won57
8Interceptions8
33Clearances12
51Recoveries62
Discipline
6Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
17Goal kicks3
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
Who winsNordsjælland to win (DNB) 87% · 1.11 @ Betano
1X2Nordsjælland to win 74% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 2.04 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.69 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.33 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 1.48 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.17 @ Betsson
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 16% · 6.80 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 2.02 @ Bet365
1X2Valur to win 10% · 12.00 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
9.55
Valur Reykjavík
5.74
Draw
1.24
FC Nordsjælland
Double Chanceconsensus
3.55
Valur Reykjavík or Draw
1.11
Valur Reykjavík or FC Nordsjælland
1.04
Draw or FC Nordsjælland
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes
1.83
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50 ▼
22.22
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50
5.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.56
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.13
Over 3.50
1.64
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.75
Over 4.50 ▼
1.43
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
7.33
Valur Reykjavík
1.06
FC Nordsjælland
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
8.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50 ▲
4.58
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50 ▲
3.20
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50 ▲
2.30
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.88
Over 10.50 ▲
1.81
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.40
Over 11.50 ▲
1.51
Under 11.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.07
Over 12.50
1.29
Under 12.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Nordsjælland to win or draw
✓
90% confidence
FC Nordsjælland to avoid defeat
✓
87% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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