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Tarmo Kink
Paide Linnameeskond
SK Rapid Wien
Paide Linnameeskond
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-3-2
SK Rapid Wien
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
322802 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.3%
-11.7 vs price
Draw
500.0 · implied 0.2%
10.5%
+10.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.2%
+2.1 vs price
Half time
471 EUR · live
Away
1.09 · implied 91.7%
88.2%
-3.5 vs price
Draw
15.0 · implied 6.7%
6.4%
-0.3 vs price
Home
75.0 · implied 1.3%
5.1%
+3.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
43863 EUR · live
Over
2.28 · implied 43.9%
65.6%
+21.8 vs price
Under
1.77 · implied 56.5%
34.4%
-22.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4306 EUR · live
Under
1.21 · implied 82.6%
89.1%
+6.5 vs price
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
10.9%
-7.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
VAR
Penalty check · N. Wurmbrand
5'
⚽
B. Bolla (pen)0–1
41'
⚽
D. Luts1–1
Half-time · 1–1
55'
O. Hoim · Foul
57'
B. Bolla · Foul
58'
🔁
H. Ojamaa ◂ Daniel Cabral
59'
🔁
P. Dahl ◂ M. Tilio
66'
🔁
H. Anier ◂ A. Badamosi
69'
🔁
N. Bajlicz ◂ L. Schaub
69'
🔁
Y. Demir ◂ T. Gulliksen
69'
🔁
M. Haïdara ◂ N. Wurmbrand
80'
🔁
M. Jobarteh ◂ D. Luts
80'
🔁
P. Andrade ◂ N. Baranov
83'
⚽
M. Haïdara1–2
85'
⚽
P. Dahl · assist B. Bolla1–3
87'
🔁
E. Roka ◂ B. Bolla
Full-time · 1–4
90'+4
⚽
M. Haïdara · assist T. Adamsen1–4
Coaches
Johannes Thorup 
Recent form
DAZirə FK1-1
WHZirə FK1-0
WHFC Hegelmann3-0
DAFC Hegelmann1-1
WHSK Super Nova1-0
WHFC Santa Coloma6-2
WAFC Santa Coloma3-1
WHHamburger SV3-2
WHPanathinaikos FC4-1
WAFC Hertha Wels2-1
Match facts
Stadium
A. Le Coq Arena
City
Tallinn
Referee
Danilo Nikolic
Kickoff
06 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
99
E. Jarju
5.6
7
E. Tur
5.5
4
P. Andrade
5.9
↑ 80'
3
V. Hugo
6.3
2
M. Lilander
6.0
10
M. Miller
6.7
28
O. Hoim
6.2
14
M. Jobarteh
6.3
↑ 80'
11
P. M. Sohna
7.2
8
H. Ojamaa
↑ 58'
9
H. Anier
6.5
↑ 66'
1
N. Hedl
7.1
2
E. Roka
↑ 87'
55
N. Cvetković
7.0
6
S. Raux-Yao
8.0
23
J. Auer
6.9
18
M. Seidl
7.2
30
N. Bajlicz
6.6
↑ 69'
43
M. Haïdara
8.9
↑ 69'
10
P. Dahl
7.3
↑ 59'
8
T. Adamsen
5.9
22
Y. Demir
6.9
↑ 69'
Top stats
26%Possession74%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
8Total shots22
2Shots on target8
2Big chances7
4Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target8
3Blocked shots6
6Shots inside box16
2Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored4
1Big chances missed3
Attack
14Touches in box42
30Final third entries76
0Offsides1
12Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
255Passes743
200Accurate passes687
23/46 (50%)Long balls18/36 (50%)
3/7 (43%)Crosses7/29 (24%)
12Throw-ins21
Duels
54Duels46
35/67 (52%)Ground duels33/67 (49%)
8/12 (67%)Aerial duels4/11 (36%)
8/17 (47%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles15
73Tackles won67
16Interceptions6
32Clearances6
48Recoveries56
Discipline
13Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
2Big saves1
11Goal kicks3
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsRapid to win (DNB) 90% · 1.06 @ betfair
1X2Rapid to win 78% · 1.24 @ pmbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 1.61 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.73 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.48 @ Betway
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.21 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.73 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 15% · 7.20 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.66 @ betfair
1X2Paide to win 7% · 17.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
12.51
Paide Linnameeskond
6.20
Draw
1.19
SK Rapid Wien
Double Chanceconsensus
4.13
Paide Linnameeskond or Draw
1.10
Paide Linnameeskond or SK Rapid Wien
1.03
Draw or SK Rapid Wien
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.13
Yes
1.63
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
13.40
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
4.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.49
Over 2.50
2.43
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.23
Over 3.50
1.58
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.15
Over 4.50 ▲
1.22
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
9.56
Paide Linnameeskond
1.03
SK Rapid Wien
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50 ▲
5.63
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▲
3.56
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50 ▲
2.53
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50 ▲
1.88
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50 ▲
1.57
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.05
Over 11.50 ▲
1.31
Under 11.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
SK Rapid Wien to win or draw
✓
93% confidence
SK Rapid Wien to avoid defeat
✓
90% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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