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Jakob Poulsen
AGF
Sabah FK
AGF
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Sabah FK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
868694 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
82.3%
-13.9 vs price
Draw
29.0 · implied 3.4%
13.2%
+9.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.8%
+7.7 vs price
Half time
3875 EUR · live
Home
3.0 · implied 33.3%
51.2%
+17.9 vs price
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
28.9%
+11.6 vs price
Draw
2.34 · implied 42.7%
19.9%
-22.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
161183 EUR · live
Under
2.5 · implied 40.0%
71.9%
+31.9 vs price
Over
1.67 · implied 59.9%
28.1%
-31.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8882 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
91.8%
-2.6 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
8.2%
+2.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
29'
🔁
J. Andersen ◂ F. Tingager
31'
⚽
J. Bogere1–0
37'
V. Simić · Foul
39'
J. Mickels · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
R. Carstensen ◂ J. Jønsson
63'
⚽
J. Bogere · assist M. Knudsen2–0
65'
🔁
P. O. M'Bina ◂ K. Parris
66'
⚽
V. Simić · assist U. Rahmonaliev2–1
71'
🔁
G. Links ◂ F. Emmery
73'
G. Links · Foul
74'
M. Knudsen · Foul
79'
🔁
X. Severina ◂ A. Isayev
81'
🔁
C. Storch ◂ C. Rösler
81'
🔁
J. Serra ◂ M. Anderson
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
VAR
Goal not given after review · C. Storch
90'+3
🔁
A. Khaybulaev ◂ V. Simić
90'+3
🔁
Y. Lachaab ◂ J. Mickels
-5'
V. Dambrauskas · Argument
Coaches
Jakob PoulsenValdas Dambrauskas 
Recent form
AGFDALyngby2-2
WALech Poznań4-1
DHBrøndby IF1-1
LHLech Poznań1-4
WHAC Horsens2-0
Sabah FKWAKuopion Palloseura2-0
WHKuopion Palloseura1-0
WAThe New Saints2-1
WHThe New Saints2-0
LAPolissya Zhytomyr1-4
Where to watch
Ictimai TV
TV3+ HDViaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Cepheus Park Randers
City
Randers
Referee
Rade Obrenovič
Kickoff
05 Aug, 17:10 UTC
Competition
Champions League
AGF
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Sabah FK
21
M. Hedenstad
6.4
45
C. Storch
6.7
↑ 81'
26
J. Andersen
6.3
↑ 29'
19
E. Kahl
6.6
13
J. Serra
6.6
↑ 81'
4
M. Knudsen
7.2
29
R. Carstensen
6.6
↑ 46'
11
G. Links
6.7
↑ 71'
31
T. Bech
6.7
28
J. Bogere
8.6
10
K. Arnstad
6.6
92
S. Pokatilov
6.8
80
A. Zedadka
6.5
3
S. Solvet
6.1
5
R. Dashdamirov
6.4
27
T. Puchacz
6.0
7
U. Rahmonaliev
6.8
13
I. Lepinjica
6.5
99
P. O. M'Bina
6.6
↑ 65'
34
X. Severina
6.6
↑ 79'
6
A. Khaybulaev
↑ 90'
23
Y. Lachaab
↑ 90'
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
10Total shots15
3Shots on target4
1Big chances1
6Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target10
4Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box5
6Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances missed1
Attack
16Touches in box19
31Final third entries50
0Offsides1
11Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third2
Passing
352Passes439
283Accurate passes374
23/48 (48%)Long balls28/46 (61%)
2/16 (13%)Crosses3/22 (14%)
18Throw-ins32
Duels
52Duels48
32/67 (48%)Ground duels35/67 (52%)
14/21 (67%)Aerial duels7/21 (33%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
11Dispossessed7
Defending
16Tackles16
81Tackles won38
10Interceptions7
21Clearances14
52Recoveries51
Discipline
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves0
12Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 35 bookmakers
Who winsAGF to win (DNB) 73% · 1.35 @ Betano
1X2AGF to win 55% · 1.83 @ Marathon
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.29 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 25% · 4.55 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365
1X2Sabah to win 20% · 7.04 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.75
AGF ▲
3.73
Draw ▼
4.32
Sabah FK ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
AGF or Draw ▲
1.26
AGF or Sabah FK ▲
2.01
Draw or Sabah FK ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▼
2.00
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
10.49
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▼
3.70
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.81
Over 2.50 ▲
1.96
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50 ▲
1.37
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50 ▼
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.31
AGF ▲
3.21
Sabah FK ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.50
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50 ▼
12.25
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50 ▼
9.40
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▲
5.42
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50 ▼
3.46
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50 ▼
2.45
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50 ▼
1.86
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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