← All matches
Michel
AFC Ajax
Shelbourne
AFC Ajax
4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1
Shelbourne
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
79771 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.1%
-2.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.0%
+1.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.9%
+1.8 vs price
Half time
6630 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
98.0%
+1.8 vs price
Draw
23.0 · implied 4.3%
1.6%
-2.8 vs price
Away
25.0 · implied 4.0%
0.4%
-3.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24454 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
86.3%
-5.5 vs price
Under
12.0 · implied 8.3%
13.7%
+5.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3511 EUR · live
Over
1.48 · implied 67.6%
51.2%
-16.4 vs price
Under
2.88 · implied 34.7%
48.8%
+14.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
VAR
Penalty check · M. Godts
6'
⚽
M. Godts (pen)1–0
22'
⚽
O. Wijndal · assist S. Berghuis2–0
Half-time · 2–0
47'
E. Caffrey · Foul
50'
⚽
K. Dolberg · assist S. Berghuis3–0
58'
🔁
J. Mokio ◂ O. Gloukh
58'
🔁
M. Leonardo ◂ D. Klaassen
64'
🔁
O. Edvardsen ◂ S. Berghuis
65'
🔁
J. Brandt ◂ K. Dolberg
73'
🔁
R. Freitas ◂ S. Moore
77'
🔁
M. Carrizo ◂ M. Godts
80'
🔁
O. Casey ◂ K. McInroy
80'
🔁
A. Coote ◂ J. Henry-Francis
84'
⚽
D. Kelly3–1
85'
J. Mokio · Foul
Full-time · 3–1
90'+3
🔁
S. Gannon ◂ J. Norris
90'+3
🔁
J. Roche ◂ S. Bone
Coaches
MichelJohn Russell 
Recent form
AFC AjaxWAFC Volendam3-1
WHFK Vojvodina4-1
WHBurnley2-1
WAFK Vojvodina4-1
WHOlympiacos FC1-0
ShelbourneLANõmme Kalju1-2
WHNõmme Kalju5-2
DHCeltic1-1
WHLongford Town4-1
WHBray Wanderers3-0
Where to watch
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
Premier Sports 1 HDPremier Sports Player
Sport 4
Arena 4 Premium
Arena 4 Premium
Ziggo GoZiggo Sport
Arena 4 Premium
Match facts
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
City
Amsterdam
Referee
Atilla Karaoglan
Kickoff
06 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Conference League
Highlights & clips
AFC Ajax
4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1
Shelbourne
26
M. Paes
6.6
3
A. Gaaei
7.6
30
A. Bouwman
7.6
17
D. Blind
9.2
5
O. Wijndal
6.6
6
Y. Regeer
7.5
20
O. Edvardsen
6.7
↑ 64'
24
J. Mokio
6.7
↑ 58'
38
M. Leonardo
6.1
↑ 58'
7
M. Carrizo
6.3
↑ 77'
8
J. Brandt
6.8
↑ 65'
19
E. Beach
7.8
25
M. Mbeng
5.0
2
S. Gannon
↑ 90'
29
P. Barrett
6.9
4
K. Ledwidge
6.1
55
J. Roche
↑ 90'
20
R. Freitas
6.5
↑ 73'
16
O. Casey
6.7
↑ 80'
14
A. Coote
6.6
↑ 80'
27
E. Caffrey
6.2
17
D. Kelly
7.4
Top stats
71%Possession29%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
32Total shots3
11Shots on target3
9Big chances0
14Corners0
Shots
15Shots off target0
6Blocked shots0
18Shots inside box2
14Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
6Big chances missed0
Attack
67Touches in box4
70Final third entries39
3Offsides1
2Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
721Passes298
670Accurate passes224
8/15 (53%)Long balls22/61 (36%)
10/28 (36%)Crosses0/2 (0%)
11Throw-ins14
Duels
38Duels62
18/52 (35%)Ground duels34/52 (65%)
8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)
6/19 (32%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
7Dispossessed3
Defending
9Tackles20
56Tackles won60
14Interceptions9
8Clearances33
58Recoveries35
Discipline
11Fouls4
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves8
0Big saves3
0Goal kicks17
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 30 bookmakers
1X2Ajax to win 90% · 1.09 @ Novibet
Who winsAjax to win (DNB) 96% · 1.02 @ Betano
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 55% · 1.76 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 65% · 1.64 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.32 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 88% · 1.10 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.82 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 7% · 15.39 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shelbourne to win 3% · 50.00 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.05
AFC Ajax ▼
10.93
Draw ▲
29.47
Shelbourne ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.01
AFC Ajax or Draw ▼
1.02
AFC Ajax or Shelbourne ▼
9.25
Draw or Shelbourne ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.42
Yes ▲
1.51
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
21.30
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
7.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.24
Over 2.50 ▲
3.90
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.68
Over 3.50 ▲
2.16
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.53
Over 4.50 ▲
1.51
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.01
AFC Ajax ▼
20.05
Shelbourne ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50 ▲
4.65
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50 ▲
3.08
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50 ▼
2.22
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.95
Over 10.50 ▲
1.76
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.46
Over 11.50 ▲
1.47
Under 11.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.28
Over 12.50 ▲
1.27
Under 12.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
4.55
Over 13.50 ▲
1.17
Under 13.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AFC Ajax to win or draw
✓
97% confidence
AFC Ajax to avoid defeat
✓
96% confidence
AFC Ajax win
✓
90% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
88% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.