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Sebastián Oliveros
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellín
Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Independiente Medellín
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
38019 EUR · live
Away
1.24 · implied 80.6%
69.8%
-10.9 vs price
Home
17.0 · implied 5.9%
25.1%
+19.2 vs price
Draw
7.4 · implied 13.5%
5.1%
-8.4 vs price
Half time
339 EUR · live
Away
1.54 · implied 64.9%
39.6%
-25.4 vs price
Home
9.2 · implied 10.9%
36.9%
+26.0 vs price
Draw
3.45 · implied 29.0%
23.0%
-6.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11917 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
65.1%
-16.2 vs price
Under
5.5 · implied 18.2%
34.9%
+16.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2072 EUR · live
Under
1.36 · implied 73.5%
70.1%
-3.5 vs price
Over
4.0 · implied 25.0%
29.9%
+4.9 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
D. Cataño0–1
16'
⚽
J. E. Montaño · assist Y. González0–2
34'
🔁
J. Córdoba ◂ D. Cataño
41'
H. Martinez · Argument
Half-time · 0–2
47'
J. Medina
56'
⚽
S. Guzmán (pen)1–2
57'
⚽
J. Córdoba · assist J. E. Montaño1–3
60'
J. Varela · Foul
63'
🔁
A. Simarra ◂ Y. González
65'
🔁
E. Valencia ◂ C. Arrieta
65'
🔁
L. Sánchez ◂ H. Martinez
65'
🔁
K. Florez ◂ J. Mosquera
66'
🔁
J. Hernández ◂ A. Parra
73'
🔁
J. Valencia ◂ J. Hurtado
73'
🔁
B. Perlaza ◂ A. Martegani
73'
🔁
H. Palacios ◂ J. E. Montaño
77'
S. Guzmán · Foul
84'
⚽
J. Hernández · assist E. Valencia2–3
Full-time · 2–3
90'+5
B. Perlaza · Foul
Coaches
Sebastián OliverosLuis Perea 
Recent form
Deportes TolimaWAAlianza Valledupar FC2-1
LADeportes Quindío1-2
WHJunior Barranquilla2-1
WHDeportes Quindío2-1
DAUniversitario de Deportes0-0
Independiente MedellínWHDeportivo Cali1-0
LAVasco da Gama0-1
WHDeportivo Pasto3-2
DHVasco da Gama2-2
WHCúcuta Deportivo2-1
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
City
Ibague
Referee
Carlos Ortega
Kickoff
04 Aug, 23:15 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Independiente Medellín
13
M. Ortega
5.5
18
K. Florez
6.8
↑ 65'
3
J. Ángulo
6.7
71
Y. Osorio
6.7
10
L. Sánchez
6.8
↑ 65'
8
E. Valencia
6.8
↑ 65'
32
S. Guzmán
8.6
11
J. Valencia
6.4
↑ 73'
9
L. Sandoval
7.8
28
E. López
6.9
20
J. Hernández
8.0
↑ 66'
25
E. Chaux
8.3
26
E. Mena
6.0
39
L. Escorcia
6.5
5
J. Varela
5.8
13
J. Mena
6.3
19
A. Simarra
6.5
↑ 63'
6
D. Moreno
30
H. Palacios
6.2
↑ 73'
14
B. Perlaza
6.4
↑ 73'
9
J. Medina
6.8
70
J. Córdoba
7.3
↑ 34'
Substitutes
23GG. Balanta
33DJ. Mosquera↓ 65'5.9
17DC. Arrieta↓ 65'5.9
14MH. Martinez↓ 65'6.6
16MV. Reyes
24FA. Parra↓ 66'6.5
7FJ. Hurtado↓ 73'6.0
19FS. Joven
Coach: Sebastián Oliveros
Substitutes
1GS. Ichazo
4DK. Mantilla
10MD. Cataño↓ 34'7.8
21MA. Martegani↓ 73'6.8
11MY. González↓ 63'6.2
34MK. Klinger
20FJ. E. Montaño↓ 73'8.5
32FC. Gonzalez
Coach: Luis Perea
Top stats
66%Possession34%
2.62Expected goals (xG)1.53
22Total shots14
11Shots on target5
2Big chances1
9Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
13Shots inside box8
9Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
-1.89Goals prevented0.93
Attack
33Touches in box18
77Final third entries53
1Offsides0
9Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
524Passes267
449Accurate passes194
36/48 (75%)Long balls22/63 (35%)
6/22 (27%)Crosses0/11 (0%)
22Throw-ins14
Duels
49Duels51
26/54 (48%)Ground duels28/54 (52%)
7/13 (54%)Aerial duels6/13 (46%)
2/6 (33%)Dribbles7/15 (47%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
14Tackles14
57Tackles won71
9Interceptions13
10Clearances30
57Recoveries60
Discipline
7Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves8
5Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.71 @ betfair
1X2Draw 30% · 3.30 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.43 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.26 @ betfair
Who winsTolima to win (DNB) 63% · 1.53 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.94 @ betfair
1X2Tolima to win 44% · 2.20 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.90 @ SportingBet
1X2Ind. Medellín to win 26% · 3.95 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.43 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.08
Deportes Tolima ▼
3.09
Draw ▼
3.55
Independiente Medellín ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Deportes Tolima or Draw
1.32
Deportes Tolima or Independiente Medellín
1.67
Draw or Independiente Medellín ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes
1.82
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50 ▲
7.61
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50 ▼
2.89
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.64
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.84
Over 3.50 ▼
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.08
Over 4.50 ▼
1.06
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.47
Deportes Tolima ▼
2.50
Independiente Medellín
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.22
Over 6.50 ▲
3.78
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.47
Over 7.50 ▲
2.51
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.75
Over 8.50 ▼
1.95
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.23
Over 9.50 ▼
1.57
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.03
Over 10.50 ▲
1.33
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.24
Over 11.50
1.17
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
5.90
Over 12.50 ▲
1.11
Under 12.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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