Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Roma roll into the Amex as clear preseason favorites**, but Brighton's home turf could make this a proper scrap despite both sides chasing rust-free minutes. 🟡
Roma's been sharper in warm-ups—three wins in five with an away win over Newport and that mad 3-3 at Cannes. Brighton labored to a 3-0 over Wolves but got spanked 0-3 at home by Man United, so they're hungry to show something credible. The Seagulls will be without **K. Mitoma** (hamstring) and **Z. Yohanna** (thigh), which thins the attacking edge.
Key storylines:
- **E. Ndicka** and **M. Hermoso** anchor Roma's back three, but they'll face Brighton's front three featuring **Y. Minteh** and **E. Ferguson** in a wide setup
- **P. Dybala** and **D. Malen** on the wings give Roma dangerous creativity; Brighton's midfield of **P. Groß** and **M. Wieffer** has to control tempo
- Seagulls desperate to redeem after that United hammering—home advantage in a friendly can flip the script fast ⚽
Expected lineups:
- **Brighton & Hove Albion**: B. Verbruggen, F. Kadıoğlu, M. Wieffer, L. Dunk, O. Boscagli, P. Groß, C. Kostoulas, Y. Minteh, E. Ferguson, S. Tzimas
- **AS Roma**: M. Svilar, M. Hermoso, E. Ndicka, G. Mancini, D. Malen, B. Cristante, Wesley, P. Dybala
Prediction:
**Roma 2–1 Brighton**. Roma's sharper form gives them a slight edge, but expect Brighton to scrape one back at home.
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