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Vasco Matos
Estoril Praia
Famalicão
Estoril Praia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Famalicão
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
466437 EUR · live
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
47.9%
-48.2 vs price
Away
85.0 · implied 1.2%
41.6%
+40.4 vs price
Home
50.0 · implied 2.0%
10.5%
+8.5 vs price
Half time
109 EUR
Draw
2.06 · implied 48.5%
99.9%
+51.4 vs price
Home
0.0%
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
176881 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
81.7%
-16.3 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
18.3%
+14.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5403 EUR · live
Under
1.07 · implied 93.5%
83.4%
-10.1 vs price
Over
16.5 · implied 6.1%
16.6%
+10.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
32'
⚽
G. Koutsias · assist G. Dias0–1
Half-time · 0–1
53'
R. Sánchez · Foul
66'
🔁
T. Szűcs ◂ P. Santos
66'
🔁
F. Garcia ◂ A. Lacximicant
66'
🔁
P. Carvalho ◂ R. Sánchez
72'
⚽
Y. Begraoui · assist P. Carvalho1–1
76'
R. Pinheiro · Foul
77'
🔁
Ó. Aranda ◂ G. Dias
77'
🔁
R. Beney ◂ Sorriso
83'
🔁
U. Abubakar ◂ G. Koutsias
83'
🔁
J. Orellana ◂ Xeka
87'
🔁
T. Brito ◂ A. Tsoungui
Full-time · 1–1
90'+3
R. Beney · Foul
Coaches
Carlos Carvalhal 
Recent form
DHC.F. Os Belenenses1-1
DHTorreense0-0
LAFC Alverca0-2
WHAtletico CP3-0
LHBenfica1-3
DHCrystal Palace0-0
WHTondela1-0
DHFC Arouca0-0
DHPenafiel0-0
WHLusitânia Lourosa1-0
Where to watch
Sportdigital Fussball
Disney+
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
VeikkausTV
COSMOTE SPORT | 2HD
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
City
Estoril
Referee
Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
Kickoff
07 Aug, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
1
J. Robles
6.4
22
P. Carvalho
7.3
↑ 66'
4
Ferro
6.7
15
I. S. Arnal
6.9
3
F. Medrano
6.8
6
J. Orellana
6.5
↑ 83'
90
T. Brito
↑ 87'
99
R. Guitane
6.9
12
J. Carvalho
6.4
98
F. Garcia
6.7
↑ 66'
14
Y. Begraoui
8.3
25
L. Carević
6.3
17
R. Pinheiro
6.6
3
L. Realpe
7.0
4
F. v. Breemen
6.9
28
P. Bondo
6.8
6
T. Van De Looi
7.0
14
M. D. Amorim
6.8
11
Ó. Aranda
6.9
↑ 77'
21
T. Szűcs
6.3
↑ 66'
18
R. Beney
6.4
↑ 77'
9
U. Abubakar
6.5
↑ 83'
Substitutes
16GM. Turk
31GD. Dias
2DR. Sánchez↓ 66'6.8
5DA. Tsoungui↓ 87'6.5
55DT. Parente
18DG. Costa
42DJ. Arnolin
8MXeka↓ 83'6.5
80ML. Gomes
7FA. Lacximicant↓ 66'6.6
17FPeixinho
Coach: Vasco Matos
Substitutes
1GI. Zlobin
5DL. Meyer
30DV. Serafimović
36DM. Mattara
2DG. García
7MSorriso↓ 77'7.1
10MP. Santos↓ 66'6.3
23MG. Dias↓ 77'6.3
8MM. Peña
19MP. Moreira
70FG. Koutsias↓ 83'6.7
91FR. Almeida
Coach: Carlos Carvalhal
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.99Expected goals (xG)1.43
14Total shots6
3Shots on target2
1Big chances2
7Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.31Goals prevented-0.67
Attack
30Touches in box20
48Final third entries50
3Offsides1
13Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
428Passes433
360Accurate passes363
19/42 (45%)Long balls13/38 (34%)
3/18 (17%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
16Throw-ins24
Duels
47Duels53
32/71 (45%)Ground duels39/71 (55%)
13/25 (52%)Aerial duels12/25 (48%)
4/13 (31%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
9Dispossessed11
Defending
17Tackles18
65Tackles won61
14Interceptions13
21Clearances29
40Recoveries42
Discipline
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
7Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 43 bookmakers
Who winsFamalicão to win (DNB) 54% · 1.80 @ Betano
1X2Famalicão to win 38% · 2.57 @ granmadrid
1X2Draw 29% · 3.35 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.86 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ Betano
1X2Estoril to win 32% · 3.06 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.85
Estoril Praia
3.24
Draw
2.48
Famalicão
Double Chanceconsensus
1.49
Estoril Praia or Draw
1.32
Estoril Praia or Famalicão
1.38
Draw or Famalicão
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.96
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
8.93
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.26
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.75
Over 4.50 ▼
1.11
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.00
Estoril Praia
1.72
Famalicão
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50 ▼
12.25
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50 ▲
8.83
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▲
4.88
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50 ▲
3.21
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50 ▲
2.27
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.93
Over 9.50 ▼
1.77
Under 9.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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