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Mitchell van der Gaag
CS Marítimo
Casa Pia
CS Marítimo
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Casa Pia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
118945 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
69.3%
-27.8 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
19.5%
+16.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.2%
+11.1 vs price
Half time
6370 EUR · live
Home
15.0 · implied 6.7%
69.1%
+62.4 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
27.9%
-67.4 vs price
Away
26.0 · implied 3.8%
3.0%
-0.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
102651 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.1%
-15.9 vs price
Over
200.0 · implied 0.5%
16.9%
+16.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
61 EUR
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
57.3%
-35.3 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
40.9%
+32.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
45'+2
David Sousa · Foul
61'
⚽
R. Guzzo · assist M. Tejón1–0
66'
🔁
K. Prieto ◂ O. Osundina
66'
🔁
P. Rosas ◂ A. Conté
78'
🔁
A. Jatta ◂ G. Pereira
80'
🔁
S. Clúa ◂ S. Pérez
81'
🔁
Kaly ◂ J. Goulart
82'
🔁
S. Bamba ◂ S. Bouzaidi
86'
A. Jatta · Foul
87'
🔁
T. Tavares ◂ M. Tejón
87'
🔁
M. Boakye ◂ A. Butzke
Full-time · 1–0
90'+1
🔁
G. Szalai ◂ R. Guzzo
90'+1
🔁
J. Santiago ◂ V. Danilović
90'+1
R. Guzzo · Foul
90'+6
T. Tavares · Time wasting
Coaches
Álvaro Pacheco 
Recent form
WHAD Camacha2-0
WHLeixões SC3-2
LHChaves1-3
LAPenafiel0-1
WHLeixões SC3-2
LALeixões SC2-6
WACF Estrela Amadora2-1
WHTorreense2-0
DATorreense0-0
DHRio Ave1-1
Where to watch
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio do Maritimo
City
Funchal
Referee
Sergio Guelho
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
13
A. Pastor
7.2
2
I. Julião
7.0
4
R. Fernandes
7.1
44
R. Correia
6.9
23
P. Henrique
7.0
22
G. Szalai
↑ 90'
6
R. Andrade
7.3
25
J. Santiago
↑ 90'
27
S. Bamba
6.4
↑ 82'
15
T. Tavares
6.6
↑ 87'
90
M. Boakye
6.5
↑ 87'
31
A. Gomes
7.8
18
A. Geraldes
6.4
3
Kaly
6.7
↑ 81'
43
David Sousa
6.9
75
P. Rosas
6.8
↑ 66'
16
S. Clúa
6.8
↑ 80'
80
L. Ofori
6.5
20
A. Jatta
6.3
↑ 78'
19
K. Prieto
6.9
↑ 66'
9
H. Araújo
6.1
10
Rochinha
6.9
Substitutes
77GP. Teixeira
1GG. Tabuaço
14MR. Guzzo↓ 90'8.1
10MM. Tejón↓ 87'7.4
18MV. Danilović↓ 90'7.2
11MS. Bouzaidi↓ 82'6.8
68MN. Batista
16MF. Silva
66MI. Ayuma
17FA. Butzke↓ 87'7.0
Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag
Substitutes
95GI. Mandić
22GD. Azevedo
4DJ. Goulart↓ 81'6.8
27DK. Rocha
5MA. Conté↓ 66'7.2
8MG. Pereira↓ 78'6.7
24MS. Pérez↓ 80'6.6
59MA. Dafe
11MR. Blanco
13FO. Osundina↓ 66'6.3
99FC. Mendes
Coach: Álvaro Pacheco
Top stats
39%Possession61%
1.25Expected goals (xG)0.64
16Total shots9
4Shots on target4
2Big chances1
2Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target2
4Blocked shots3
12Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
0.44Goals prevented0.86
Attack
24Touches in box18
41Final third entries68
0Offsides1
13Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
307Passes470
239Accurate passes416
14/40 (35%)Long balls23/40 (57%)
5/14 (36%)Crosses4/25 (16%)
15Throw-ins24
Duels
50Duels50
36/71 (51%)Ground duels35/71 (49%)
18/37 (49%)Aerial duels20/39 (51%)
6/8 (75%)Dribbles8/19 (42%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
18Tackles11
67Tackles won45
4Interceptions5
35Clearances13
39Recoveries31
Discipline
17Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
6Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.60 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.23 @ Betano
1X2Draw 30% · 3.35 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.77 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.40 @ Unibet
Who winsMarítimo to win (DNB) 60% · 1.44 @ Betano
1X2Marítimo to win 43% · 2.07 @ Betano
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ Betway
1X2Casa Pia to win 27% · 4.30 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
CS Marítimo ▼
3.23
Draw ▲
3.87
Casa Pia ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
CS Marítimo or Draw ▼
1.33
CS Marítimo or Casa Pia ▼
1.71
Draw or Casa Pia ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.05
Yes ▲
1.70
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50 ▲
7.40
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.44
Over 1.50 ▼
2.71
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.34
Over 2.50 ▲
1.58
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.40
Over 3.50 ▲
1.21
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.80
Over 4.50 ▲
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.39
CS Marítimo ▼
2.81
Casa Pia ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50
11.30
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50 ▼
6.34
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50 ▼
3.87
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.40
Over 7.50 ▼
2.66
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.73
Over 8.50 ▼
1.98
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.22
Over 9.50 ▼
1.58
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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