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Johnnie Jackson
AFC Wimbledon
Newport County
AFC Wimbledon
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Newport County
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9132 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
90.9%
+1.6 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
9.1%
-1.7 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
D. Sweeney · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
64'
M. Hippolyte · Foul
66'
🔁
S. Sessegnon ◂ D. Sweeney
66'
🔁
J. Stockley ◂ A. Sasu
66'
🔁
C. Maycock ◂ Z. Nelson
71'
⚽
Y. Bamba · assist S. Gwengwe0–1
73'
🔁
M. Alexander-Walker ◂ S. Gwengwe
73'
🔁
G. Garner ◂ C. Doidge
76'
🔁
D. Sassi ◂ Y. Bamba
78'
M. Alexander-Walker
82'
🔁
A. Hackford ◂ A. Smith
86'
🔁
A. Merritt ◂ T. Davies
86'
🔁
M. Smith ◂ C. Evans
Full-time · 1–1
90'+7
⚽
C. Maycock · assist I. Ogundere1–1
PEN · 5–4
Coaches
Johnnie JacksonHayden Mullins 
Recent form
AFC WimbledonLHQueens Park Rangers2-3
LAWealdstone0-1
WHCharlton Athletic2-0
DHNorwich City0-0
WASutton United2-1
Newport CountyLHAS Roma1-4
WAYeovil Town2-1
LHReading0-4
DABristol City0-0
LAGloucester City1-2
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Cherry Red Records Stadium
City
Wimbledon
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
AFC Wimbledon
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Newport County
1
N. Bishop
8.5
33
I. Ogundere
6.2
2
S. Sessegnon
6.1
↑ 66'
6
R. Johnson
6.9
7
J. Tilley
8.1
8
C. Maycock
7.4
↑ 66'
16
A. Hackford
6.7
↑ 82'
21
M. Hippolyte
6.9
3
S. Seddon
7.8
11
M. Browne
6.9
9
J. Stockley
7.0
↑ 66'
1
J. Wright
6.7
22
C. Norman
6.9
5
L. Jenkins
7.1
4
K. Cameron
6.6
17
A. Merritt
6.4
↑ 86'
8
M. Smith
5.8
↑ 86'
6
C. Brennan
7.1
34
D. Sassi
6.8
↑ 76'
10
H. Biggins
7.0
19
G. Garner
7.0
↑ 73'
14
M. Alexander-Walker
6.6
↑ 73'
Substitutes
20GJ. McDonnell
26DD. Sweeney↓ 66'7.0
10MZ. Nelson↓ 66'6.7
12MA. Smith↓ 82'6.7
32MK. Jennings
5MO. Harrison
18MD. McCoy-Splatt
4MJ. Reeves
29FA. Sasu↓ 66'6.3
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Substitutes
33GS. MacDonald
2DC. Evans↓ 86'7.3
3DT. Davies↓ 86'6.8
20MY. Bamba↓ 76'7.6
29MK. Pattern
36MH. Pugh
27FC. Doidge↓ 73'6.7
9FS. Gwengwe↓ 73'6.0
40FC. Jarvis
Coach: Hayden Mullins
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
15Total shots14
5Shots on target4
2Big chances2
7Corners5
Shots
8Shots off target4
2Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed2
Attack
22Touches in box26
57Final third entries70
2Offsides0
15Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
365Passes226
262Accurate passes139
26/73 (36%)Long balls17/68 (25%)
11/27 (41%)Crosses8/24 (33%)
24Throw-ins30
Duels
50Duels50
31/58 (53%)Ground duels27/58 (47%)
27/58 (47%)Aerial duels31/58 (53%)
2/8 (25%)Dribbles4/15 (27%)
7Dispossessed4
Defending
15Tackles13
73Tackles won62
5Interceptions9
34Clearances36
39Recoveries34
Discipline
11Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 31 bookmakers
Who winsWimbledon to win (DNB) 70% · 1.30 @ Betano
1X2Wimbledon to win 53% · 1.70 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 25% · 4.18 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.42 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.62 @ Novibet
1X2Newport to win 22% · 5.03 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.63
AFC Wimbledon ▲
3.95
Draw ▲
4.57
Newport County ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
AFC Wimbledon or Draw ▲
1.23
AFC Wimbledon or Newport County ▲
2.12
Draw or Newport County ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
1.99
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.10
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▲
4.00
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50 ▲
2.05
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.85
Over 3.50 ▲
1.41
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50 ▲
1.15
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.23
AFC Wimbledon ▼
3.63
Newport County ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50 ▲
5.33
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50 ▲
3.60
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50 ▲
2.58
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50 ▲
1.93
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50 ▼
1.56
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.04
Over 11.50 ▲
1.33
Under 11.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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