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Michael Duff
Wycombe Wanderers
Stevenage
Wycombe Wanderers
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Stevenage
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
303953 EUR · live
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
65.1%
+64.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
19.9%
+19.8 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
15.0%
-84.0 vs price
Half time
794 EUR · live
Away
17.0 · implied 5.9%
52.6%
+46.7 vs price
Home
8.4 · implied 11.9%
24.8%
+12.9 vs price
Draw
1.26 · implied 79.4%
22.4%
-56.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
65992 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
64.8%
-31.3 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
35.2%
+31.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5706 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
93.1%
+7.6 vs price
Over
5.9 · implied 16.9%
6.9%
-10.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
J. Roberts · Foul
27'
⚽
D. Kemp0–1
33'
F. Onyedinma · Foul
35'
D. Kemp · Time wasting
39'
⚽
E. Henderson · assist S. Thomas1–1
42'
L. James-Wildin · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
64'
🔁
E. Tezgel ◂ C. Woodrow
69'
C. Piergianni · Foul
74'
🔁
O. Sanderson ◂ J. Roberts
75'
🔁
T. Taylor ◂ L. Thompson
75'
🔁
J. Magennis ◂ J. Reid
77'
🔁
C. Boyd-Munce ◂ J. Mullins
78'
🔁
J. Quitirna ◂ S. Thomas
79'
E. Henderson · Foul
83'
🔁
S. Earley ◂ L. Freestone
Full-time · 1–2
90'+5
⚽
J. Magennis · assist P. Patterson1–2
Coaches
Michael DuffAlex Revell 
Recent form
Wycombe WanderersLHIpswich Town1-2
WHPortsmouth3-1
WHYeovil Town3-2
LAFarnham Town1-2
LAQueens Park Rangers0-1
StevenageWHColchester United1-0
WHMillwall1-0
LHWest Ham United0-5
DAFC Andorra0-0
LAStockport County0-2
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
Sky Sports+
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
StarTimes AppStartimes Sports Arena
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Match facts
Stadium
Adams Park
City
Wycombe
Kickoff
07 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Wycombe Wanderers
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Stevenage
23
C. Hazard
6.2
22
S. Parker
6.6
26
C. Taylor
6.4
27
S. Cook
7.2
3
D. Harvie
7.3
5
A. Morley
7.3
20
E. Henderson
8.0
44
F. Onyedinma
6.1
8
C. Boyd-Munce
6.6
↑ 77'
7
J. Quitirna
6.5
↑ 78'
19
E. Tezgel
6.1
↑ 64'
1
F. Marschall
7.6
2
L. James-Wildin
7.0
15
T. Vancooten
6.4
5
C. Piergianni
6.7
14
S. Earley
6.8
↑ 83'
7
T. Taylor
6.9
↑ 75'
18
O. Sanderson
6.4
↑ 74'
8
D. Phillips
6.5
10
D. Kemp
7.9
44
P. Patterson
7.3
9
J. Magennis
7.6
↑ 75'
Substitutes
1GM. v. Sas
6DT. Allen
17DD. Casey
45DA. Hagelskjær
21MJ. Mullins↓ 77'6.9
4MJ. Scowen
11FS. Thomas↓ 78'8.1
12FC. Woodrow↓ 64'6.1
67FM. Olabiyi
Coach: Michael Duff
Substitutes
16GD. Barden
6DL. Freestone↓ 83'6.3
3DD. Butler
17DJ. Pattenden
22DJ. Taylor
23ML. Thompson↓ 75'6.6
11MJ. Roberts↓ 74'5.8
26MJ. Knight
19FJ. Reid↓ 75'6.5
Coach: Alex Revell
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
13Total shots13
3Shots on target5
5Big chances1
4Corners3
Shots
8Shots off target6
2Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
4Big chances missed0
Attack
32Touches in box14
87Final third entries53
1Offsides1
12Free kicks8
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
480Passes328
395Accurate passes245
30/61 (49%)Long balls24/65 (37%)
6/27 (22%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
28Throw-ins28
Duels
50Duels50
34/64 (53%)Ground duels29/61 (48%)
22/48 (46%)Aerial duels26/48 (54%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
19Tackles16
63Tackles won75
12Interceptions8
23Clearances32
48Recoveries57
Discipline
8Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.74 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 3.40 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ Novibet
Who winsWycombe to win (DNB) 59% · 1.62 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365
1X2Stevenage to win 29% · 3.29 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Wycombe to win 42% · 2.25 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Wycombe Wanderers ▲
3.27
Draw ▼
3.17
Stevenage ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw ▼
1.30
Wycombe Wanderers or Stevenage ▲
1.59
Draw or Stevenage ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes ▲
1.90
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.51
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50 ▲
3.10
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.06
Over 2.50 ▼
1.73
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.70
Over 3.50 ▲
1.26
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.05
Over 4.50 ▼
1.08
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.59
Wycombe Wanderers ▼
2.25
Stevenage ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.93
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50 ▼
3.18
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50 ▼
2.28
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50 ▲
1.77
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50 ▲
1.45
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.44
Over 11.50 ▲
1.25
Under 11.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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