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Gareth Ainsworth
Gillingham
Luton Town
Gillingham
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Luton Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14432 EUR · live
Over
1.82 · implied 54.9%
64.4%
+9.5 vs price
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
35.6%
-9.1 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
43'
⚽
N. Wells · assist J. Luker0–1
Half-time · 0–1
48'
🔁
K. Palmer ◂ J. Luker
50'
Z. Albarus · Foul
59'
⚽
B. Benagr0–2
67'
🔁
S. Kendall ◂ K. Harris
67'
🔁
W. Goodwin ◂ S. Palmer-Houlden
67'
🔁
H. Waldock ◂ Z. Albarus
67'
🔁
S. Booth ◂ R. Hale
68'
🔁
S. Morris ◂ J. Richards
68'
🔁
C. McManus ◂ L. Dobbs
69'
🔁
G. Kodua ◂ B. Benagr
69'
🔁
H. Ashby ◂ I. Jones
69'
🔁
S. H. Sandal ◂ L. Walsh
78'
⚽
G. Kodua0–3
88'
S. Morris · Foul
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
Gareth AinsworthJack Wilshere 
Recent form
GillinghamWAEbbsfleet United2-1
WHMillwall1-0
LHCharlton Athletic0-1
WADover Athletic3-0
WHShrewsbury Town1-0
Luton TownLHGo Ahead Eagles0-1
WHAl-Kholood2-0
DABarnet2-2
WAHitchin Town5-0
WABolton Wanderers3-2
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Stadium
Priestfield Stadium
City
Gillingham
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Gillingham
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Luton Town
40
O. Mason
6.5
3
C. McManus
6.7
↑ 68'
5
A. Smith
5.9
19
O. Beckles
5.9
16
J. Brophy
6.3
14
R. McKenzie
6.6
22
N. Freeman
6.3
24
H. Waldock
6.5
↑ 67'
18
S. Kendall
6.5
↑ 67'
9
W. Goodwin
6.8
↑ 67'
30
S. Booth
6.1
↑ 67'
24
J. Keeley
7.7
33
H. Ashby
7.4
↑ 69'
2
H. Odofin
7.5
6
G. Johnston
8.1
3
K. Naismith
7.5
4
S. H. Sandal
6.7
↑ 69'
45
K. Palmer
6.4
↑ 48'
18
J. Clark
7.5
14
S. Morris
6.0
↑ 68'
30
G. Kodua
6.8
↑ 69'
21
N. Wells
7.2
Substitutes
13GT. Holtam
26DL. Dobbs↓ 68'5.8
29DH. Webster
7MK. Harris↓ 67'6.6
15MZ. Albarus↓ 67'6.5
27MM. Luxton
10FR. Hale↓ 67'6.3
11FS. Palmer-Houlden↓ 67'5.6
28FD. Theodore
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Substitutes
1GJ. Shea
31DB. Benagr↓ 69'7.1
25DI. Jones↓ 69'7.0
5DM. Andersen
12DJ. Johnson
8ML. Walsh↓ 69'7.7
7MJ. Richards↓ 68'6.5
19FJ. Luker↓ 48'6.8
44FD. Cole
Coach: Jack Wilshere
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
7Total shots17
2Shots on target11
0Big chances5
2Corners9
Shots
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots1
3Shots inside box16
4Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed2
Attack
9Touches in box31
59Final third entries63
1Offsides2
10Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
250Passes492
143Accurate passes394
12/68 (18%)Long balls22/64 (34%)
2/9 (22%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
24Throw-ins26
Duels
35Duels63
28/65 (43%)Ground duels38/67 (57%)
8/38 (21%)Aerial duels31/42 (74%)
4/6 (67%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
14Tackles12
71Tackles won83
8Interceptions10
30Clearances25
45Recoveries57
Discipline
17Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
8Saves2
1Big saves0
12Goal kicks3
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 31 bookmakers
Who winsLuton to win (DNB) 73% · 1.27 @ Betano
1X2Luton to win 55% · 1.66 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.83 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.80 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 25% · 4.10 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.90 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Gillingham to win 20% · 5.18 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.65
Gillingham ▲
3.92
Draw ▲
1.63
Luton Town ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.13
Gillingham or Draw ▲
1.22
Gillingham or Luton Town ▼
1.16
Draw or Luton Town ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▼
2.00
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▼
10.82
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▼
4.00
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.77
Over 2.50 ▲
2.01
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.90
Over 3.50 ▲
1.39
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50 ▼
1.16
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
3.60
Gillingham ▲
1.25
Luton Town ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50 ▲
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50 ▼
4.93
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50 ▼
3.23
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50 ▲
2.33
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.90
Over 9.50 ▲
1.79
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.47
Over 10.50 ▲
1.46
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.36
Over 11.50 ▲
1.27
Under 11.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Luton Town to win or draw
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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