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Danny Cowley
Colchester United
Southampton
Colchester United
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
526064 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.0%
-10.0 vs price
Draw
450.0 · implied 0.2%
6.8%
+6.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.3%
+4.2 vs price
Half time
1583 EUR
Away
1.75 · implied 57.1%
76.7%
+19.5 vs price
Draw
3.1 · implied 32.3%
19.1%
-13.2 vs price
Home
9.0 · implied 11.1%
4.2%
-6.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
105666 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
89.0%
-6.2 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
11.0%
+1.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
92 EUR
Over
5.4 · implied 18.5%
69.2%
+50.7 vs price
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
30.3%
-51.7 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
S. Kuffour ◂ J. Tucker
62'
🔁
C. Bragg ◂ T. Fellows
62'
🔁
C. Larin ◂ B. Brereton Díaz
68'
🔁
L. Chiwome ◂ B. Ihionvien
68'
🔁
M. Oni ◂ O. Thorn
72'
⚽
C. Larin · assist R. Manning0–1
74'
🔁
P. Digby ◂ R. Hunt
75'
🔁
C. Archer ◂ L. Scienza
75'
🔁
F. Azaz ◂ L. Dobbin
78'
🔁
J. Leake ◂ E. Iandolo
86'
🔁
R. Akachukwu ◂ K. Matsuki
Full-time · 0–2
90'+2
⚽
R. Akachukwu · assist F. Azaz0–2
Coaches
Danny CowleyTonda Eckert 
Recent form
Colchester UnitedLAStevenage0-1
LHCharlton Athletic0-2
DHWest Ham U212-2
LHPeterborough United2-3
WAHarlow Town5-0
SouthamptonWAPreußen Münster2-1
LASC Paderborn 071-2
WAEintracht Braunschweig1-0
WAEastleigh3-1
WHMiddlesbrough2-1
Where to watch
Diema Sport 2 HDPlay Diema Xtra
Startimes World Football
Disney+ESPN 3
StarTimes App
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes App
Cytavision Sports 4HD
Nova Sport 1
Sky Go UKSky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sky Go UKSky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
Arena 4 Premium
StarTimes App
Arena 4 Premium
StarTimes App
Match facts
Stadium
Colchester Community Stadium
City
Colchester
Kickoff
08 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Carabao Cup
Highlights & clips
Colchester United
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Southampton
22
T. Lo-Tutala
6.7
30
K. Vincent-Young
6.6
44
S. Kuffour
5.9
↑ 46'
20
S. Raggett
6.0
24
F. Terry
6.2
21
J. Leake
6.4
↑ 78'
42
M. Oni
6.5
↑ 68'
6
P. Digby
6.5
↑ 74'
10
J. Payne
7.3
7
H. Anderson
7.0
11
L. Chiwome
6.4
↑ 68'
1
D. Peretz
8.8
14
J. Bree
7.2
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
8.1
5
J. Stephens
7.4
3
R. Manning
8.4
4
F. Downes
6.6
29
R. Akachukwu
7.7
↑ 86'
26
C. Bragg
7.1
↑ 62'
10
F. Azaz
6.7
↑ 75'
19
C. Archer
6.9
↑ 75'
9
C. Larin
6.9
↑ 62'
Substitutes
1GT. Smith
5DJ. Tucker↓ 46'6.9
2DR. Hunt↓ 74'6.8
3DE. Iandolo↓ 78'6.6
27MO. Thorn↓ 68'6.4
34MK. Lisbie
47MR. Harvey
9FB. Ihionvien↓ 68'7.1
39FK. Connolly
Coach: Danny Cowley
Substitutes
25GG. Long
34DWelington
15DN. Wood
27MK. Matsuki↓ 86'7.5
18MT. Fellows↓ 62'6.4
22MB. Brereton Díaz↓ 62'6.4
7ML. Scienza↓ 75'6.3
24MS. Charles
11FL. Dobbin↓ 75'6.4
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Top stats
26%Possession74%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
12Total shots24
5Shots on target5
2Big chances4
1Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target13
4Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box16
1Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed2
Attack
21Touches in box46
49Final third entries66
5Free kicks14
Passing
247Passes726
176Accurate passes654
21/61 (34%)Long balls26/51 (51%)
4/12 (33%)Crosses11/26 (42%)
16Throw-ins23
Duels
49Duels51
29/59 (49%)Ground duels30/58 (52%)
11/23 (48%)Aerial duels12/23 (52%)
8/11 (73%)Dribbles11/17 (65%)
3Dispossessed9
Defending
16Tackles6
69Tackles won67
12Interceptions6
28Clearances20
35Recoveries50
Discipline
14Fouls5
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
1Big saves0
18Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 35 bookmakers
Who winsSouthampton to win (DNB) 86% · 1.10 @ Bet365
1X2Southampton to win 71% · 1.30 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.54 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.18 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 17% · 6.04 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
1X2Colchester to win 12% · 10.25 @ Marathon
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
9.02
Colchester United ▲
5.23
Draw ▼
1.28
Southampton ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
3.48
Colchester United or Draw ▲
1.12
Colchester United or Southampton ▼
1.06
Draw or Southampton ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes ▲
1.82
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.58
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50 ▼
5.25
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50 ▼
2.45
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.30
Over 3.50 ▼
1.59
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.90
Over 4.50 ▼
1.24
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
6.97
Colchester United ▲
1.08
Southampton ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.78
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50 ▲
3.83
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50 ▲
2.77
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50 ▲
2.05
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.09
Over 10.50 ▲
1.65
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.76
Over 11.50 ▲
1.38
Under 11.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Southampton to win or draw
✓
88% confidence
Southampton to avoid defeat
✓
86% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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