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Mihailo Petrovic
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-Pulse
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
198473 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
61.9%
-32.5 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
30.2%
+30.1 vs price
Draw
17.5 · implied 5.7%
8.0%
+2.2 vs price
Half time
1241 EUR · live
Home
3.65 · implied 27.4%
59.1%
+31.7 vs price
Away
5.9 · implied 16.9%
25.3%
+8.4 vs price
Draw
1.8 · implied 55.6%
15.5%
-40.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
76917 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
73.8%
-25.2 vs price
Over
130.0 · implied 0.8%
26.2%
+25.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6246 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
95.4%
-2.6 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
4.6%
+1.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
38'
⚽
K. Kitagawa · assist T. Fujii0–1
Half-time · 0–1
61'
O. Se-Hun · Argument
61'
O. Se-Hun · Foul
61'
🔁
H. Koda ◂ R. Izumi
70'
🔁
Y. Asano ◂ Mateus
76'
🔁
S. Hasukawa ◂ T. Fujii
76'
🔁
K. Koizumi ◂ K. Kitagawa
76'
🔁
S. Sugiura ◂ Y. Yamagishi
76'
🔁
T. Morishima ◂ Y. Nogami
83'
🔁
S. Takagi ◂ H. Sugai
83'
🔁
Y. Yoshida ◂ Y. Honda
85'
S. Park · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'+2
🔁
K. Kosuke ◂ Dieguinho
Coaches
Mihailo PetrovicTakayuki Yoshida 
Recent form
Nagoya GrampusLAHokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1
LAFC Tokyo1-2
LAMachida Zelvia1-2
DHMachida Zelvia2-2
LASanfrecce Hiroshima2-4
Shimizu S-PulseWAKarlsruher SC3-1
WAPolissya Zhytomyr3-1
LAYokohama F. Marinos0-3
DHYokohama F. Marinos1-1
LHGamba Osaka1-2
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Toyota Stadium
City
Toyota
Referee
Yuzo Sutani
Kickoff
08 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
35
A. Pisano
7.0
70
T. Hara
6.9
13
H. Fujii
7.9
14
T. Morishima
6.8
↑ 76'
9
Y. Asano
6.5
↑ 70'
15
S. Inagaki
7.4
31
T. Takamine
8.3
27
K. Nakayama
6.7
19
H. Koda
6.6
↑ 61'
22
Y. Kimura
7.0
30
S. Sugiura
6.5
↑ 76'
16
T. Umeda
7.8
28
Y. Yoshida
6.9
↑ 83'
14
S. Park
6.6
70
S. Takagi
6.7
↑ 83'
25
M. Brunetti
8.1
47
Y. Shimamoto
7.2
19
K. Kosuke
↑ 90'
13
R. Germain
5.7
4
S. Hasukawa
6.7
↑ 76'
9
O. Se-Hun
5.3
37
K. Koizumi
6.6
↑ 76'
Substitutes
36GH. Hagi
2DY. Nogami↓ 76'6.4
55DS. Tokumoto
3DY. Sato
41MM. Ono
17MT. Uchida
7FR. Izumi↓ 61'6.2
11FY. Yamagishi↓ 76'6.2
10FMateus↓ 70'5.9
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Substitutes
1GY. Oki
24DH. Sugai↓ 83'7.2
15DY. Honda↓ 83'7.2
2MDieguinho↓ 90'7.4
50MT. Fujii↓ 76'6.9
7MCapixaba
81MK. Kozuka
21MK. Matsuzaki
49FK. Kitagawa↓ 76'7.7
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Top stats
75%Possession25%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
18Total shots14
6Shots on target6
0Big chances1
13Corners7
Shots
8Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box13
8Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
Attack
35Touches in box23
95Final third entries57
1Offsides1
14Free kicks5
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
611Passes196
532Accurate passes126
36/63 (57%)Long balls16/51 (31%)
7/37 (19%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
19Throw-ins22
Duels
53Duels47
27/57 (47%)Ground duels30/57 (53%)
28/47 (60%)Aerial duels19/47 (40%)
5/14 (36%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
11Tackles18
45Tackles won67
7Interceptions5
23Clearances54
40Recoveries35
Discipline
5Fouls14
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves6
0Big saves2
7Goal kicks14
2Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
Who winsNagoya to win (DNB) 61% · 1.53 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.78 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 3.75 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.61 @ 888Sport
1X2Nagoya to win 45% · 2.15 @ betsensation
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.92 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ betfair
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.55 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Shimizu to win 28% · 4.45 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.98
Nagoya Grampus
3.45
Draw
3.58
Shimizu S-Pulse
Double Chanceconsensus
1.27
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
1.28
Nagoya Grampus or Shimizu S-Pulse
1.75
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.04
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
10.13
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.58
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50
1.90
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.06
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.73
Over 4.50 ▼
1.13
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Nagoya Grampus
2.58
Shimizu S-Pulse
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.00
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50 ▼
11.75
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50 ▼
7.57
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.18
Over 6.50 ▲
4.49
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50 ▼
3.06
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50 ▼
2.26
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.94
Over 9.50 ▲
1.75
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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