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Tomasz Kaczmarek
Radomiak Radom
Górnik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Górnik Zabrze
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
77583 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
66.6%
-32.4 vs price
Home
970.0 · implied 0.1%
24.4%
+24.3 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
10.0%
+9.9 vs price
Half time
2541 EUR · live
Away
1.1 · implied 90.9%
80.1%
-10.8 vs price
Draw
13.0 · implied 7.7%
10.1%
+2.4 vs price
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
9.8%
+8.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
33896 EUR · live
Over
1.53 · implied 65.4%
56.1%
-9.2 vs price
Under
2.9 · implied 34.5%
43.9%
+9.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8151 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
94.2%
-3.9 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
5.8%
+1.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
28'
⚽
P. González0–1
43'
I. Camará · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
45'+2
Conrado · Handball
45'+4
⚽
K. Urbański (pen)0–2
46'
🔁
A. Tapsoba ◂ F. Gouré
46'
🔁
R. Lumungo ◂ C. Nunnely
56'
A. Diéguez · Foul
58'
P. González · Foul
60'
M. Dietz · Foul
64'
⚽
P. González0–3
65'
P. Schulze · Foul
67'
⚽
R. Wolski (pen)1–3
70'
🔁
B. Donio ◂ M. Dietz
70'
🔁
L. Sadílek ◂ P. Bernardo
70'
A. Tapsoba · Foul
71'
S. Liseth · Foul
71'
🔁
T. Ismaheel ◂ P. González
74'
🔁
Manu ◂ Z. Ouattara
74'
🔁
F. Koperski ◂ A. Diéguez
80'
🔁
Y. I. Dimi ◂ M. Khlan
85'
🔁
K. Karasek ◂ I. Camará
89'
🔁
E. Prekop ◂ S. Liseth
Full-time · 1–3
Coaches
Michal Gasparik 
Recent form
LAGKS Katowice1-3
LHNea Salamina Famagusta2-3
WHWieczysta Kraków2-1
LHPogoń Siedlce1-2
LALegia Warszawa1-3
LAFerencváros TC0-1
DHFenerbahçe1-1
WHŚląsk Wrocław2-1
LAFenerbahçe0-1
WAFC Nordsjælland2-0
Where to watch
Sportdigital Fussball
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
VeikkausTV
Arena Sport 3 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
City
Radom
Referee
Marcin Kochanek
Kickoff
08 Aug, 12:45 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
1
F. Majchrowicz
5.7
72
F. Koperski
6.5
↑ 74'
3
K. Szcześniak
7.0
18
Manu
6.5
↑ 74'
97
Conrado
6.1
23
K. Karasek
6.8
↑ 85'
13
J. Grzesik
6.8
27
R. Wolski
7.1
82
Luquinhas
7.8
90
R. Lumungo
6.7
↑ 46'
15
A. Tapsoba
6.9
↑ 46'
1
P. Schulze
6.5
61
M. Sáček
7.2
26
R. Janicki
7.1
4
P. Bochniewicz
7.3
21
O. Zmrzlý
6.9
28
B. Donio
7.1
↑ 70'
88
T. Ismaheel
6.8
↑ 71'
82
K. Urbański
7.5
18
L. Sadílek
6.8
↑ 70'
7
Y. I. Dimi
6.5
↑ 80'
11
E. Prekop
↑ 89'
Substitutes
99GB. Gradecki
24DZ. Ouattara↓ 74'6.2
26DA. Diéguez↓ 74'4.9
47DS. Kilianek
5DJ. Blasco
8MI. Camará↓ 85'6.5
7MC. Nunnely↓ 46'6.4
28MR. Baró
17MA. Żabicki
77MC. Donis
11FF. Gouré↓ 46'6.4
Coach: Tomasz Kaczmarek
Substitutes
99GT. Loska
2DP. Warczak
20DJosema
64DE. Janža
19MP. González↓ 71'8.8
8MP. Bernardo↓ 70'6.9
33MM. Khlan↓ 80'6.7
66MM. Dietz↓ 70'6.6
15MMassimo
34MB. Durdov
23FS. Liseth↓ 89'7.1
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Top stats
46%Possession54%
2.02Expected goals (xG)2.28
14Total shots21
5Shots on target6
1Big chances2
2Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots10
9Shots inside box13
5Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-1.32Goals prevented0.22
Attack
26Touches in box42
38Final third entries61
0Offsides1
6Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
420Passes509
351Accurate passes448
10/31 (32%)Long balls27/54 (50%)
8/21 (38%)Crosses1/17 (6%)
15Throw-ins13
Duels
40Duels59
32/79 (41%)Ground duels47/80 (59%)
4/11 (36%)Aerial duels7/11 (64%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles10/15 (67%)
16Dispossessed15
Defending
19Tackles22
63Tackles won55
9Interceptions15
19Clearances27
49Recoveries55
Discipline
16Fouls7
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves1
11Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.45 @ Betway
Who winsGórnik to win (DNB) 53% · 1.91 @ betfair
1X2Górnik to win 38% · 2.66 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.92 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 3.55 @ mansion
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.29 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ betfair
1X2Radomiak to win 34% · 2.90 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Betway
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.71
Radomiak Radom ▼
3.37
Draw ▲
2.42
Górnik Zabrze ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.51
Radomiak Radom or Draw ▼
1.29
Radomiak Radom or Górnik Zabrze ▼
1.41
Draw or Górnik Zabrze ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.59
Yes ▼
2.22
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.92
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50 ▼
3.89
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50 ▼
2.02
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.79
Over 3.50 ▼
1.39
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.98
Radomiak Radom ▼
1.75
Górnik Zabrze ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.50
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.21
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50 ▲
2.87
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50 ▲
2.14
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.01
Over 10.50 ▲
1.70
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.60
Over 11.50 ▲
1.43
Under 11.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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