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Oscar Garcia
Pogoń Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Pogoń Szczecin
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Motor Lublin
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
86441 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.7%
-9.3 vs price
Draw
730.0 · implied 0.1%
7.2%
+7.1 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
3.1%
+3.0 vs price
Half time
1063 EUR · live
Home
1.09 · implied 91.7%
72.8%
-18.9 vs price
Draw
7.2 · implied 13.9%
14.3%
+0.4 vs price
Away
65.0 · implied 1.5%
12.7%
+11.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
64570 EUR · live
Under
1.26 · implied 79.4%
62.9%
-16.5 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
37.2%
+16.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6180 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
91.2%
-6.8 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
8.8%
-1.2 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
D. Churlinov1–0
43'
⚽
A. Szalai · assist L. Wahlqvist2–0
Half-time · 2–0
57'
🔁
F. Čuić ◂ D. Churlinov
57'
🔁
K. Acosta ◂ M. Wojciechowski
59'
T. Plavotić · Foul
65'
🔁
M. Aïko ◂ T. Santos
66'
🔁
B. Mendy ◂ L. Borges
68'
F. Ronaldo · Foul
77'
🔁
K. Lukoszek ◂ F. Ronaldo
80'
🔁
H. Ali ◂ P. Mukairu
80'
🔁
K. Grosicki ◂ M. Juwara
82'
🔁
D. Gregorski ◂ Y. Bourhane
82'
🔁
P. Meyer ◂ C. Simon
84'
D. Keramitsis · Foul
Full-time · 3–1
90'
⚽
K. Acosta · assist K. Grosicki3–1
90'
⚽
M. Aïko · assist D. Gregorski2–1
Coaches
Oscar GarciaMariusz Misiura 
Recent form
Pogoń SzczecinWAKS Cracovia2-0
LHLegia Warszawa0-1
LASK Sturm Graz0-1
LAFenerbahçe0-4
WHChrobry Głogów2-1
Motor LublinLHJagiellonia Białystok1-2
DAWidzew Łódź2-2
WHHapoel Jerusalem2-0
WHPolonia Warszawa2-1
WHWarta Poznań4-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 2 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
City
Szczecin
Referee
Szymon Marciniak
Kickoff
08 Aug, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
Pogoń Szczecin
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Motor Lublin
77
V. Cojocaru
7.4
28
L. Wahlqvist
6.6
13
D. Keramitsis
6.6
41
A. Szalai
7.5
23
B. Mendy
6.7
↑ 66'
8
F. Ulvestad
7.3
16
P. Dziczek
7.0
3
K. Acosta
7.5
↑ 57'
15
H. Ali
6.3
↑ 80'
10
F. Čuić
6.5
↑ 57'
11
K. Grosicki
7.1
↑ 80'
71
M. Popa
7.1
70
M. Aïko
7.6
↑ 65'
18
B. Bereszyński
6.7
4
T. Plavotić
5.9
24
F. Luberecki
6.6
2
P. Meyer
6.2
↑ 82'
30
M. Ndiaye
90
D. Gregorski
6.6
↑ 82'
6
M. Łęgowski
6.1
17
K. Lukoszek
6.5
↑ 77'
10
K. Czubak
6.8
Substitutes
83GA. Holewinski
4DL. Borges↓ 66'7.3
29DL. Willen
7MM. Juwara↓ 80'7.4
18MP. Mukairu↓ 80'6.8
21MD. Churlinov↓ 57'6.7
35MM. Wojciechowski↓ 57'6.4
47MN. Lawa
19MM. Ndiaye
6MJ. Biegański
30FJ. Czaplinski
17FJ. Nsamé
Coach: Oscar Garcia
Substitutes
99GP. Kukulski
33GG. Tratnik
29DT. Santos↓ 65'6.3
5DA. Akatov
39DM. K. Bartoš
27MY. Bourhane↓ 82'7.1
8MC. Simon↓ 82'7.1
11MF. Ronaldo↓ 77'6.0
16MF. Lewandowski
23FF. Haxha
Coach: Mariusz Misiura
Top stats
44%Possession56%
2.22Expected goals (xG)0.92
15Total shots16
6Shots on target4
4Big chances1
2Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target8
3Blocked shots4
10Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
0.03Goals prevented0.49
Attack
23Touches in box26
51Final third entries58
1Offsides0
9Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
387Passes486
319Accurate passes416
31/56 (55%)Long balls14/39 (36%)
5/13 (38%)Crosses6/19 (32%)
22Throw-ins22
Duels
42Duels58
26/59 (44%)Ground duels33/59 (56%)
11/30 (37%)Aerial duels19/30 (63%)
2/12 (17%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
16Tackles16
63Tackles won63
5Interceptions14
34Clearances23
41Recoveries44
Discipline
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
2Big saves0
12Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.42 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 1.66 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.21 @ 1xBet
Who winsPogoń to win (DNB) 62% · 1.57 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 27% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
1X2Pogoń to win 46% · 2.17 @ forbet
1X2Motor to win 28% · 3.94 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ betinasia
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.03
Pogoń Szczecin
3.47
Draw
3.34
Motor Lublin
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Pogoń Szczecin or Draw
1.27
Pogoń Szczecin or Motor Lublin
1.72
Draw or Motor Lublin
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.49
Yes
2.41
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
12.40
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
4.48
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.24
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.39
Over 3.50
1.51
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.65
Over 4.50 ▲
1.18
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.49
Pogoń Szczecin
2.45
Motor Lublin
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
13.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
7.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.12
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50 ▲
3.03
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50 ▲
2.21
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.94
Over 10.50 ▲
1.75
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.47
Over 11.50 ▲
1.46
Under 11.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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