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Vincent Euvrard
Standard Liège
Cercle Brugge
Standard Liège
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Cercle Brugge
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
189890 EUR · live
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
62.6%
+59.3 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
20.7%
-74.6 vs price
Away
80.0 · implied 1.2%
16.7%
+15.5 vs price
Half time
298 EUR · live
Home
3.4 · implied 29.4%
38.3%
+8.9 vs price
Draw
2.2 · implied 45.5%
37.0%
-8.5 vs price
Away
3.8 · implied 26.3%
24.5%
-1.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30254 EUR · live
Under
4.4 · implied 22.7%
52.8%
+30.0 vs price
Over
1.29 · implied 77.5%
47.2%
-30.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1516 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
88.9%
-3.7 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
11.0%
+2.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Player of the match
Match events
15'
VAR
No penalty · G. Mortensen
33'
A. Abid · Simulation
38'
V. Konaté · Off the ball foul
41'
⚽
L. Mondele · assist D. Vanzeir0–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'+5
⚽
D. Eckert Ayensa · assist A. Abid1–1
48'
⚽
D. Eckert Ayensa · assist C. Nielsen2–1
66'
🔁
J. Ndala ◂ V. Martens
66'
🔁
L. Amani ◂ D. Vanzeir
71'
🔁
S. Drammeh ◂ B. Nguene
71'
🔁
R. Touzghar ◂ A. Trouillet
71'
🔁
B. Nsimba ◂ D. Eckert Ayensa
78'
🔁
I. Diakité ◂ V. Konaté
78'
🔁
K. Kouassi ◂ S. Ngoura
83'
🔁
E. Nunes ◂ L. Mondele
88'
⚽
C. Ravych2–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
🔁
S. Jasper ◂ M. Ilaimaharitra
Coaches
Lars Friis 
Recent form
LHFC Viktoria Köln0-3
WHRFC Seraing2-1
LHJuventus0-1
LAUSL Dunkerque0-2
WHRoyal Francs Borains1-0
DAAS Monaco2-2
LAStade de Reims0-3
LAPEC Zwolle2-3
DHLommel SK1-1
LARAAL La Louvière1-4
Match facts
Stadium
Maurice Dufrasne
City
Liege
Referee
Jasper Vergoote
Kickoff
08 Aug, 16:15 UTC
Competition
Pro League
1
M. Epolo
6.8
13
M. Fossey
7.0
20
I. Karamoko
6.3
25
I. Hautekiet
6.4
3
G. Mortensen
6.5
19
S. Jasper
↑ 90'
15
S. Drammeh
6.9
↑ 71'
84
R. Touzghar
6.5
↑ 71'
94
C. Nielsen
7.7
11
A. Abid
8.0
77
B. Nsimba
6.9
↑ 71'
1
G. Coucke
7.4
5
E. Kakou
6.5
66
C. Ravych
8.2
24
G. Kondo
7.2
15
G. Magnee
7.8
8
E. Nunes
6.6
↑ 83'
19
M. I. Diaby
6.8
2
I. Diakité
6.8
↑ 78'
17
J. Ndala
6.7
↑ 66'
10
L. Amani
6.6
↑ 66'
41
K. Kouassi
6.7
↑ 78'
Substitutes
21GL. Pirard
29DD. Dierckx
18DH. Lawrence
22MA. Trouillet↓ 71'7.2
23MM. Ilaimaharitra↓ 90'7.2
27MM. Hankouri
7MT. Mohr
10FD. Eckert Ayensa↓ 71'9.0
17FB. Nguene↓ 71'6.1
Coach: Vincent Euvrard
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.59Expected goals (xG)1.45
20Total shots17
6Shots on target2
6Big chances1
7Corners11
Shots
8Shots off target10
6Blocked shots5
15Shots inside box13
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
4Big chances missed0
-0.7Goals prevented-0.16
Attack
37Touches in box32
63Final third entries46
0Offsides1
13Free kicks9
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
486Passes368
386Accurate passes290
34/60 (57%)Long balls25/55 (45%)
5/17 (29%)Crosses9/28 (32%)
21Throw-ins20
Duels
50Duels50
44/79 (56%)Ground duels35/78 (45%)
14/37 (38%)Aerial duels23/37 (62%)
7/17 (41%)Dribbles8/21 (38%)
9Dispossessed11
Defending
25Tackles19
68Tackles won79
13Interceptions15
22Clearances32
57Recoveries54
Discipline
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
8Goal kicks12
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 41 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
1X2Cercle Brugge to win 34% · 3.00 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.78 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 3.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 2.06 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.31 @ 1xBet
1X2Standard Liège to win 39% · 2.40 @ 888Sport
Who winsStandard Liège to win (DNB) 52% · 1.73 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.32
Standard Liège ▼
3.28
Draw ▲
2.76
Cercle Brugge ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Standard Liège or Draw ▼
1.25
Standard Liège or Cercle Brugge ▼
1.59
Draw or Cercle Brugge ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes ▲
2.06
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.41
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▼
3.53
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50 ▲
1.90
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.08
Over 4.50 ▲
1.12
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.68
Standard Liège ▼
2.09
Cercle Brugge ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.75
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.23
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▼
6.02
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50 ▲
3.79
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50 ▼
2.63
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50 ▼
1.98
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.18
Over 10.50 ▲
1.61
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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