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Craig McLeish
St. Mirren
St. Johnstone
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
St. Johnstone
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
75895 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
55.5%
-41.6 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
24.7%
+19.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
19.9%
+19.8 vs price
Half time
544 EUR · live
Draw
1.8 · implied 55.6%
76.4%
+20.8 vs price
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
21.9%
-1.4 vs price
Home
3.65 · implied 27.4%
1.5%
-25.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
18456 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.5%
-20.5 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
21.5%
+19.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
103 EUR
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
97.5%
+9.0 vs price
Over
8.2 · implied 12.2%
2.5%
-9.7 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
M. Fraser · Foul
29'
R. Carr · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
47'
VAR
Penalty check · L. Smith
51'
🔁
L. Donnelly ◂ M. Fraser
63'
J. Gullan · Argument
64'
🔁
L. Chalmers ◂ J. Fowler
64'
🔁
L. Thomas ◂ C. Mochrie
64'
🔁
J. Young ◂ E. Sule
73'
⚽
K. Phillips (pen)1–0
76'
🔁
R. Idowu ◂ S. Ramos
79'
🔁
K. Fotheringham ◂ J. Holt
84'
🔁
L. LLoyd ◂ L. Smith
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Craig McLeishSimo Valakari 
Recent form
St. MirrenWAFalkirk FC2-0
WAArbroath4-2
WHPartick Thistle1-0
DAPartick Thistle1-1
DHDundee United1-1
St. JohnstoneWHKilmarnock4-3
WACove Rangers4-2
WAMontrose3-0
WAForfar Athletic4-0
LHDundee FC0-2
Match facts
Kickoff
08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
St. Johnstone
1
J. Chapman
7.6
2
J. Richardson
6.8
4
L. Donnelly
6.9
↑ 51'
13
A. Gogić
7.3
3
D. John
7.0
8
R. Carr
6.9
48
P. Nsio
7.2
7
R. Idowu
6.8
↑ 76'
88
K. Phillips
7.2
16
L. Thomas
7.0
↑ 64'
20
J. Young
6.8
↑ 64'
1
T. Steward
6.8
17
L. LLoyd
6.5
↑ 84'
5
Z. Mitchell
7.2
3
C. Diabate
7.4
14
M. Foulds
6.5
42
R. McAlear
6.8
18
K. Fotheringham
6.8
↑ 79'
11
S. Stanton
6.6
10
J. Gullan
5.5
99
R. Paton
6.2
23
L. Chalmers
6.3
↑ 64'
Substitutes
27GP. Urminsky
22DM. Fraser↓ 51'6.8
5DR. King
53DH. Fieldson
10MS. Ramos↓ 76'7.2
30MF. Taylor
23FC. Mochrie↓ 64'6.7
9FE. Sule↓ 64'6.2
32FL. Douglas
Coach: Craig McLeish
Substitutes
20GR. Sinclair
33DL. Smith↓ 84'6.4
15DJ. Baird
19DD. Finlayson
4DM. Boyes
8MJ. Holt↓ 79'7.0
7MT. Steven
25MM. Tait
9FJ. Fowler↓ 64'6.4
Coach: Simo Valakari
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.13
13Total shots9
4Shots on target2
3Big chances2
5Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
0.87Goals prevented0.32
Attack
23Touches in box15
57Final third entries60
2Offsides1
7Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
462Passes413
363Accurate passes333
16/50 (32%)Long balls24/58 (41%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses6/20 (30%)
28Throw-ins29
Duels
49Duels51
36/67 (54%)Ground duels31/65 (48%)
11/28 (39%)Aerial duels17/28 (61%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles6/16 (38%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
18Tackles16
67Tackles won56
10Interceptions13
24Clearances24
50Recoveries51
Discipline
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
9Goal kicks7
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.73 @ betinasia
1X2Draw 28% · 3.50 @ betfair
1X2St. Johnstone to win 31% · 3.26 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.92 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle
Who winsSt Mirren to win (DNB) 56% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
1X2St Mirren to win 41% · 2.65 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.75 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
St. Mirren
3.32
Draw
2.97
St. Johnstone
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
St. Mirren or Draw
1.31
St. Mirren or St. Johnstone
1.57
Draw or St. Johnstone
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.12
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
9.94
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.65
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.83
Over 2.50
1.92
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.03
Over 3.50
1.35
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.63
Over 4.50 ▲
1.14
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.65
St. Mirren
2.12
St. Johnstone
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
23.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50 ▲
11.33
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
6.50
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50 ▲
4.17
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50 ▲
2.87
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50 ▼
2.14
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50 ▲
1.69
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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