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Luis Zubeldia
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Fluminense
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
772188 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.6%
-31.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.8%
+26.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.7%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
1127 EUR
Draw
2.06 · implied 48.5%
59.5%
+11.0 vs price
Away
5.0 · implied 20.0%
31.9%
+11.9 vs price
Home
3.0 · implied 33.3%
8.4%
-24.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
180156 EUR · live
Under
1.86 · implied 53.8%
76.6%
+22.9 vs price
Over
2.14 · implied 46.7%
23.4%
-23.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
580 EUR
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
84.8%
-7.8 vs price
Over
13.0 · implied 7.7%
15.0%
+7.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
John Kennedy · Argument
21'
Jair · Foul
34'
⚽
Brenner · assist T. Mendes0–1
39'
G. Arana · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
Nonato ◂ J. Savarino
52'
⚽
Brenner · assist A. Gómez0–2
57'
🔁
Ganso ◂ L. Acosta
57'
🔁
G. Cano ◂ A. Canobbio
57'
🔁
Hulk ◂ John Kennedy
60'
L. Jardim · Time wasting
61'
A. Gómez · Foul
67'
Cuiabano · Foul
70'
🔁
R. Rique ◂ Tchê Tchê
70'
🔁
David ◂ Brenner
74'
David · Foul
75'
Ganso · Foul
77'
⚽
Martinelli · assist Hulk1–2
81'
🔁
Adson ◂ N. Moreira
81'
🔁
C. Barros ◂ Jair
88'
🔁
Y. Soteldo ◂ G. Arana
Full-time · 1–3
90'
🔁
P. Rodríguez ◂ A. Gómez
90'+10
⚽
P. Rodríguez · assist Adson1–3
Coaches
Luis ZubeldiaPedro Emanuel 
Recent form
FluminenseDAVasco da Gama0-0
DHBahia0-0
DAGrêmio1-1
DHRed Bull Bragantino1-1
WHBahia2-0
Vasco da GamaDHFluminense0-0
WHIndependiente Medellín1-0
DHMirassol1-1
DAIndependiente Medellín2-2
LAVitória0-1
Where to watch
DGODIRECTV SportsGlobo Internacional
Prime Video
Prime Video
Globo Internacional
GE TVPremierePrime VideoSportvSportv 4KTV GloboYouTube - ge tv
TV Globo Internacional
DGOGlobo Internacional
DGOGlobo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
DGOGlobo Internacional
Prime Video
Premier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
Globo Internacional
Globo Internacional
Premier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
TV Globo Internacional
Match facts
Referee
Wilton Pereira Sampaio
Kickoff
06 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa do Brasil
Highlights & clips
Fluminense
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama
1
Fábio
5.7
23
Guga
6.7
4
Ignácio
6.4
21
I. Rabello
6.8
30
Y. Soteldo
↑ 88'
35
Hércules
7.0
8
Martinelli
8.2
10
Ganso
6.8
↑ 57'
7
Hulk
7.2
↑ 57'
16
Nonato
7.1
↑ 46'
14
G. Cano
6.3
↑ 57'
1
L. Jardim
7.8
96
P. Henrique
6.9
46
C. Cuesta
6.6
30
R. Renan
6.0
66
Cuiabano
6.8
83
R. Rique
6.5
↑ 70'
88
C. Barros
6.6
↑ 81'
23
T. Mendes
6.9
2
P. Rodríguez
7.5
↑ 90'
7
David
6.1
↑ 70'
28
Adson
7.3
↑ 81'
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
13Total shots14
4Shots on target7
1Big chances3
1Corners5
Shots
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box7
8Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
Attack
45Final third entries57
1Offsides3
25Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
520Passes326
450Accurate passes270
18/36 (50%)Long balls25/48 (52%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses2/18 (11%)
29Throw-ins20
Duels
60Duels40
55/84 (65%)Ground duels29/84 (35%)
6/18 (33%)Aerial duels12/18 (67%)
5/8 (63%)Dribbles6/22 (27%)
10Dispossessed10
Defending
26Tackles14
73Tackles won71
6Interceptions12
27Clearances30
41Recoveries47
Discipline
11Fouls25
3Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
5Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 62% · 1.57 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 81% · 1.20 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.79 @ betfair
1X2Draw 31% · 3.33 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Unibet
Who winsFluminense to win (DNB) 63% · 1.55 @ granmadrid
1X2Fluminense to win 43% · 2.28 @ betfair
1X2Vasco to win 26% · 4.10 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 63% · 1.56 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.16
Fluminense
2.95
Draw
3.61
Vasco da Gama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Fluminense or Draw
1.36
Fluminense or Vasco da Gama
1.63
Draw or Vasco da Gama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.08
Yes
1.67
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50 ▲
6.80
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.48
Over 1.50
2.52
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.49
Over 2.50
1.48
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.83
Over 3.50
1.15
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.78
Over 4.50 ▲
1.05
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.49
Fluminense
2.50
Vasco da Gama
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50
5.22
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.28
Over 7.50 ▲
3.36
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50 ▲
2.42
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50 ▼
1.86
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.33
Over 10.50 ▲
1.53
Under 10.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✗
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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