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Paulo Autuori
Fortaleza
Palmeiras
Fortaleza
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Palmeiras
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
636354 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
48.4%
-50.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
42.6%
+42.5 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
9.6%
+8.6 vs price
Half time
275 EUR
Draw
2.34 · implied 42.7%
34.9%
-7.8 vs price
Home
5.8 · implied 17.2%
33.5%
+16.2 vs price
Away
2.48 · implied 40.3%
30.9%
-9.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
33356 EUR · live
Under
4.3 · implied 23.3%
77.2%
+53.9 vs price
Over
1.3 · implied 76.9%
22.8%
-54.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
375 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
90.5%
-0.5 vs price
Over
9.8 · implied 10.2%
9.3%
-0.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
34'
⚽
J. Miritello · assist Rodriguinho1–0
41'
⚽
J. López · assist F. Anderson1–1
44'
⚽
Rodriguinho2–1
Half-time · 2–1
55'
🔁
J. Arias ◂ Riquelme
55'
🔁
A. Pereira ◂ V. Roque
55'
🔁
R. Sosa ◂ L. Evangelista
61'
⚽
Murilo · assist A. Pereira2–2
62'
🔁
Neris ◂ T. Cardona
62'
🔁
P. Baya ◂ Welliton
67'
🔁
Vitinho ◂ R. Santos
68'
🔁
E. Martínez ◂ M. Freitas
70'
Maílton · Foul
82'
🔁
L. Emanoel ◂ Rodriguinho
82'
🔁
Ryan ◂ Pierre
83'
🔁
Allan ◂ F. Anderson
88'
⚽
L. Emanoel · assist Maílton3–2
Full-time · 3–2
Coaches
Paulo AutuoriAbel Ferreira 
Recent form
FortalezaLAPalmeiras0-3
WHBotafogo-SP1-0
LAVila Nova FC1-2
WHGrêmio Novorizontino1-0
LAAtlético Goianiense0-1
PalmeirasWHFortaleza3-0
WAVitória4-0
LHAtlético Mineiro1-2
WACoritiba3-1
WHChapecoense1-0
Where to watch
Prime Video
Prime Video
GloboplayPremierePremiere 2Prime VideoSportvSportv 2TV Globo
Prime Video
PremierePrime Video
Match facts
Referee
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Kickoff
06 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa do Brasil
Highlights & clips
Fortaleza
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Palmeiras
1
J. Ricardo
6.2
22
Maílton
6.5
3
L. Gazal
6.8
23
Neris
7.3
↑ 62'
18
G. Fuentes
6.3
11
Vitinho
6.3
↑ 67'
37
Ryan
6.7
↑ 82'
88
L. Sasha
6.5
77
P. Baya
6.2
↑ 62'
9
J. Miritello
7.3
19
L. Emanoel
7.6
↑ 82'
1
C. Miguel
5.7
4
A. Giay
6.8
26
Murilo
7.3
43
L. Benedetti
5.9
56
A. Gabriel
6.4
40
Allan
↑ 83'
32
E. Martínez
6.6
↑ 68'
11
J. Arias
6.6
↑ 55'
8
A. Pereira
6.6
↑ 55'
42
J. López
7.8
19
R. Sosa
6.2
↑ 55'
Top stats
43%Possession57%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
14Total shots14
4Shots on target4
2Big chances1
6Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target6
5Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
Attack
43Final third entries50
1Offsides0
8Free kicks12
Passing
370Passes504
304Accurate passes436
21/40 (53%)Long balls28/43 (65%)
5/19 (26%)Crosses7/13 (54%)
31Throw-ins10
Duels
39Duels59
24/62 (39%)Ground duels38/63 (60%)
7/17 (41%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)
5/14 (36%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
11Tackles17
73Tackles won94
9Interceptions10
17Clearances23
39Recoveries43
Discipline
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
9Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 71% · 1.35 @ betfair
1X2Palmeiras to win 52% · 1.86 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.84 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.95 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 3.70 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.32 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Fortaleza to win 21% · 5.20 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.50
Fortaleza
3.42
Draw
1.77
Palmeiras
Double Chanceconsensus
1.95
Fortaleza or Draw
1.28
Fortaleza or Palmeiras
1.18
Draw or Palmeiras
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50 ▲
8.03
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.21
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.99
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.42
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.10
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
3.29
Fortaleza
1.30
Palmeiras
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
19.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.17
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50 ▼
3.82
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50 ▼
2.64
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50 ▼
2.02
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.13
Over 10.50 ▼
1.63
Under 10.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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