**KuPS are the home favourites here, and they've earned it** — the H2H is basically a coronation, with six wins in the last ten meetings against TPS. 🔴
KuPS are **middling form at best** (2W-1D-2L), but TPS just got battered 1-3 at home by Ilves and look fragile. That said, TPS showed fight with a 3-0 demolition of Mariehamn, so they're not dead weight.
Key storylines:
- **KuPS' home turf advantage** is real — six wins in ten derbies suggests this fixture leans their way hard
- **TPS need a result to stop the wobble**, but the away record and recent heavy loss make this an uphill battle
- **Midfield battle** between KuPS' A. Heinonen and A. Muzaci could set the tone for tempo and control
Expected lineups:
- **Kuopion Palloseura**: H. Riihimäki, A. Puukko, A. Lötjönen, C. Antwi, T. Hämäläinen, A. Heinonen, N. Kujasalo, J. Moreno, S. Heiskanen, P. Parzyszek, C. Kabuye
- **Turun Palloseura**: E. Henriksson, E. Turkki, C. Azongnitode, M. Hradecky, M. Kauppila, A. Muzaci, E. Vauhkonen, S. Anini Jr., L. Ikonen, K. Visser, L. Ivanovic
Prediction:
**KuPS 2-1 TPS**. Home edge is just too much to ignore.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.