Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Both teams are limping into this one — 1W-4L over five matches each.** This is a battle between two sides desperately hunting for consistency in a brutal stretch. 🔥
Start just beat Kristiansund but got hammered at home by Viking and Rosenborg. Fredrikstad snagged a win over Sandefjord but then conceded four to Rosenborg and got blanked by Bodø/Glimt. The H2H is deadlocked (2-2-1), so expect a cagey affair.
Key storylines:
- **IK Start** need their home form to stabilize with J. Cornelius and H. Lorentzen leading the charge up front
- **Fredrikstad's** 3-4-3 shape will test Start's wing-heavy 5-3-2, but missing S. Sørløkk is a defensive blow
- Both squads are thin on defensive depth — Start without J. Meyer and K. Tønnessen, Fredrikstad without their injured fullback
Expected lineups:
- **IK Start**: J. Pryts, T. Strannegård, J. O. Norheim, E. D. Reitan, O. D. Toure, J. B. Husebø, E. Segberg, M. Ugland, E. Schulze, J. Cornelius, H. Lorentzen
- **Fredrikstad FK**: M. Börsheim, F. Holmé, U. Fredriksen, D. Eid, S. Rafn, F. G. Yrga-Alem, O. Öhlenschlaeger, M. Nilsson, H. Skogvold, G. Wesseh, J. Núñez
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both sides are fragile; neither looks sharp enough to break through convincingly. Coin flip.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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