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Nick Montgomery
Beijing Guoan
Shenzhen Peng City
Beijing Guoan
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Shenzhen Peng City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
118147 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.7%
-9.3 vs price
Away
210.0 · implied 0.5%
7.7%
+7.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.6%
+2.5 vs price
Half time
3359 EUR · live
Home
1.45 · implied 69.0%
96.6%
+27.6 vs price
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
3.4%
+1.1 vs price
Draw
3.05 · implied 32.8%
0.0%
-32.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14628 EUR · live
Over
1.21 · implied 82.6%
75.9%
-6.7 vs price
Under
5.7 · implied 17.5%
24.1%
+6.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
17366 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
80.6%
-16.4 vs price
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
19.4%
-2.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
Z. Yuning1–0
26'
⚽
Dawhan · assist D. Jiefu2–0
28'
VAR
Goal check · Dawhan
41'
S. Huanming · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
50'
Z. Yufeng · Foul
51'
⚽
Dawhan · assist Z. Yuning3–0
56'
G. Ramos · Foul
61'
🔁
Y. Yang ◂ S. Huanming
62'
🔁
Z. Xizhe ◂ D. Jiefu
62'
🔁
Y. Liyu ◂ Z. Yuning
64'
🔁
Y. Menghui ◂ E. Karzev
68'
F. Abreu · Foul
72'
🔁
F. Jia ◂ Y. Cao
72'
🔁
G. Wang ◂ T. Yue
75'
Z. Jiang · Argument
79'
⚽
F. Abreu4–0
83'
🔁
J. Zicheng ◂ B. Yang
84'
🔁
J. Zhao ◂ Z. Yufeng
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Robbie Neilson 
Recent form
WHZhejiang2-1
DAChengdu Rongcheng2-2
DHLiaoning Tieren FC1-1
WHShandong Taishan2-0
WHWuhan Three Towns1-0
WHChongqing Tonglianglong FC2-0
LAYunnan Yukun3-4
LAWuhan Three Towns0-2
WHQingdao West Coast3-0
LATianjin Jinmen Tiger0-3
Match facts
Stadium
Beijing Workers' Stadium
City
Beijing
Referee
Ren Tong
Kickoff
07 Aug, 11:35 UTC
Competition
Chinese Super League
34
H. Sen
7.5
27
G. Wang
6.6
↑ 72'
24
A. Abduhamit
7.0
5
G. Ramos
6.9
58
J. Zicheng
6.4
↑ 83'
36
F. Jia
6.8
↑ 72'
23
Dawhan
10.0
8
A. Konte
7.6
17
Y. Liyu
6.5
↑ 62'
29
F. Abreu
7.7
10
Z. Xizhe
7.0
↑ 62'
13
P. Peng
7.0
16
M. Tang
6.1
3
G. Xavier
5.7
23
Y. Yang
6.7
↑ 61'
20
Z. Xuan
6.1
8
T. Chow
6.2
39
Y. Menghui
6.5
↑ 64'
25
J. Zhao
6.7
↑ 84'
4
Z. Jiang
6.9
11
A. Ademi
6.5
7
Wesley Moraes
6.9
Substitutes
31GS. Liu
21DT. Yue↓ 72'7.4
47DD. Jiefu↓ 62'7.0
26DB. Yang↓ 83'7.0
30DF. Shuangjie
37MY. Cao↓ 72'6.8
41MC. Xi
50MZ. Haoran
43MX. Xiaoyu
7MS. Erjini'ao
18MW. Yu
9FZ. Yuning↓ 62'7.3
Coach: Nick Montgomery
Substitutes
35GW. Minzhe
1GJ. Jiabao
46DS. Huanming↓ 61'5.9
15DR. Yu
56DW. Yuheng
14DL. Long
19MZ. Yufeng↓ 84'6.5
36ME. Karzev↓ 64'6.4
17ML. Ning
2MY. Tian
54FY. Junyi
29FX. Dalong
Coach: Robbie Neilson
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.0Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.0
14Total shots11
8Shots on target4
7Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box7
0Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
3Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed2
Attack
28Touches in box22
47Final third entries56
1Offsides0
10Free kicks19
2Fouled in final third5
Passing
412Passes363
348Accurate passes288
12/25 (48%)Long balls19/48 (40%)
3/19 (16%)Crosses2/22 (9%)
18Throw-ins21
Duels
47Duels53
25/59 (42%)Ground duels34/59 (58%)
11/17 (65%)Aerial duels6/17 (35%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles10
85Tackles won70
8Interceptions10
36Clearances24
47Recoveries36
Discipline
19Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
2Big saves2
8Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
Who winsGuoan to win (DNB) 80% · 1.20 @ Betano
1X2Guoan to win 65% · 1.49 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 1.44 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.35 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.12 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.57 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 19% · 5.03 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shenzhen to win 15% · 6.18 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.45
Beijing Guoan ▼
4.30
Draw ▲
5.64
Shenzhen Peng City ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Beijing Guoan or Draw ▲
1.17
Beijing Guoan or Shenzhen Peng City ▲
2.63
Draw or Shenzhen Peng City ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.48
Yes ▲
2.51
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
20.50
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50 ▼
6.80
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50 ▼
2.93
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.97
Over 3.50 ▼
1.83
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.85
Over 4.50 ▼
1.40
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.18
Beijing Guoan ▼
4.12
Shenzhen Peng City ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
13.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
7.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50 ▲
4.61
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50 ▲
3.08
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.54
Over 9.50 ▲
2.32
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.88
Over 10.50 ▲
1.80
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.37
Over 11.50 ▲
1.50
Under 11.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Beijing Guoan to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
Beijing Guoan to avoid defeat
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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