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Daniel Paulista
Ceará
Ponte Preta
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Ponte Preta
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
73697 EUR · live
Home
1.28 · implied 78.1%
82.4%
+4.3 vs price
Away
23.0 · implied 4.3%
11.3%
+6.9 vs price
Draw
5.7 · implied 17.5%
6.3%
-11.2 vs price
Half time
603 EUR
Home
2.12 · implied 47.2%
67.6%
+20.5 vs price
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
24.4%
+12.2 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
7.8%
-33.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
20606 EUR · live
Under
1.66 · implied 60.2%
71.1%
+10.9 vs price
Over
2.48 · implied 40.3%
28.9%
-11.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
245 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
86.1%
-4.0 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
13.5%
+3.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
J. d. Oliveira · Foul
19'
J. d. Oliveira · Foul
21'
Diego Porfirio · Argument
22'
🔁
D. Leão ◂ Kevyson
29'
⚽
L. Holanda · assist G. Pavani1–0
43'
L. Cunha · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
R. de Souza ◂ David
49'
🔁
L. Otávio ◂ Thalisson Gabriel
62'
🔁
Melk ◂ N. Ferreira
62'
🔁
Richardson ◂ G. Pavani
64'
🔁
Baianinho ◂ S. Palacios
69'
J. Gabriel · Time wasting
78'
⚽
Giulio · assist G. Rocha2–0
83'
🔁
G. Telles ◂ André
83'
🔁
G. Almeida ◂ Elvis
84'
🔁
L. Mugni ◂ Vina
84'
🔁
R. López ◂ L. Holanda
86'
G. Almeida · Foul
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Daniel PaulistaMárcio Zanardi 
Recent form
CearáWASão Bernardo4-3
LHClube De Regatas Brasil0-1
DAAmérica Mineiro1-1
DHAthletic Club0-0
LAGoiás0-2
Ponte PretaDHAthletic Club1-1
LAOperário-PR2-3
LHGoiás1-2
LHCriciúma1-2
LAFortaleza0-2
Where to watch
Disney+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Presidente Vargas
City
Fortaleza
Referee
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva
Kickoff
07 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Ceará
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Ponte Preta
1
Richard
7.3
31
B. Borges
8.0
13
L. Otávio
7.0
↑ 49'
71
G. Rocha
7.6
6
Sávio
8.0
40
Melk
6.6
↑ 62'
81
J. Gabriel
7.0
26
Richardson
7.2
↑ 62'
11
L. Mugni
6.8
↑ 84'
35
Giulio
7.8
7
R. López
6.7
↑ 84'
30
Vinicius
7.2
11
Baianinho
6.5
↑ 64'
3
L. Cunha
6.0
13
Diego Porfirio
6.1
2
J. d. Oliveira
3.0
44
G. Almeida
6.6
↑ 83'
16
Léo Gomes
6.5
4
D. Leão
6.0
↑ 22'
5
R. de Souza
6.6
↑ 46'
35
G. Telles
6.5
↑ 83'
21
Brandão
5.9
Substitutes
22GMatheus Nogueira
3DThalisson Gabriel↓ 49'7.0
12DSánchez
45DV. Uchella
60DE. Lodovico
21MG. Pavani↓ 62'7.2
29MVina↓ 84'6.9
20MN. Ferreira↓ 62'6.7
8MM. Araújo
88MJ. W. Neto
99FL. Holanda↓ 84'7.3
90FKauã
Coach: Daniel Paulista
Substitutes
1GG. Viana
23DS. Palacios↓ 64'7.1
32DKevyson↓ 22'6.5
17DMiguel
10MElvis↓ 83'6.8
8MAndré↓ 83'6.3
6MJuan
18FDavid↓ 46'6.8
9FJ. Damião
Coach: Márcio Zanardi
Top stats
69%Possession31%
2.08Expected goals (xG)0.97
20Total shots7
8Shots on target1
3Big chances3
3Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
11Shots inside box2
9Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed3
0.39Goals prevented-0.06
Attack
21Touches in box10
64Final third entries51
5Offsides1
16Free kicks12
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
474Passes208
423Accurate passes140
34/50 (68%)Long balls11/45 (24%)
4/10 (40%)Crosses0/6 (0%)
18Throw-ins17
Duels
60Duels40
41/72 (57%)Ground duels31/72 (43%)
18/26 (69%)Aerial duels8/26 (31%)
6/18 (33%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
5Dispossessed13
Defending
19Tackles17
68Tackles won53
4Interceptions7
22Clearances16
51Recoveries38
Discipline
12Fouls16
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
2Goal kicks9
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
Who winsCeará to win (DNB) 83% · 1.16 @ betfair
1X2Ceará to win 66% · 1.49 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.33 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.76 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.95 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.38 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.36 @ betfair
1X2Draw 23% · 4.55 @ hkjc
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
1X2Ponte Preta to win 12% · 9.00 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.42
Ceará ▲
4.13
Draw ▼
7.41
Ponte Preta ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
Ceará or Draw ▲
1.21
Ceará or Ponte Preta ▲
2.66
Draw or Ponte Preta ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.14
Yes
1.63
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.83
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50 ▲
3.31
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.93
Over 2.50 ▲
1.80
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.31
Over 3.50 ▲
1.29
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.15
Over 4.50 ▼
1.12
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.12
Ceará ▲
5.62
Ponte Preta ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50 ▼
6.90
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50 ▲
4.68
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50 ▼
3.25
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.50
Over 9.50 ▼
2.39
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.88
Over 10.50 ▼
1.82
Under 10.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Ceará to win or draw
✓
88% confidence
Ceará to avoid defeat
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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